Ash Barty, Novak Djokovic Favorites to Win Austrailian Open after Wild 3rd Round 3

Ash Barty, Novak Djokovic Favorites to Win Austrailian Open after Wild 3rd Round 3

The 3rd round of the 2020 Australian Open may have been the wildest round in recent Grand Slam history. On the women’s side of the bracket six of the top 10 seeds were all taken out over the last couple days, with three of those six being beaten by unranked players. There weren’t as many upsets on the men’s side, but two top 10 seeds were beaten and there were multiple five set epics.

After all of the wreckage in round three Ash Barty is now the favorite to lift her home trophy as her odds have increased from +800 to +270 at Fanduel. One of the biggest jumps has been made by Garbine Muguruza who entered the tournament with +4000 odds and is now the fifth favorite to win at +1200. Ons Jabeur, who didn’t have odds listed to win the tournament is through to the Round of 16 and has +7000 odds to win the whole thing.

One of my favorite plays the rest of the tournament is Sofia Kenin to win it all. The young American is in a favorable quarter and is the favorite to get through to the semifinals. At +1400 I think it is good odds to snatch up Kenin right now because if she beats Coco Gauff those odds will shrink. Kenin faces Gauff in the Round of 16, then potentially Qiang Wang (27), before a potential semifinal against Ash Barty (1) and a potential final against Simona Halep (4).

The men’s side is still loaded with top seeds, but the odds have changed quite a bit for some of the contenders. Novak Djokovic is still the big favorite, as his odds have increased from +120 to -140, and the only difference in the top five is that Nick Kyrgios has seen his odds increase from +3000, good for seventh pre-tournament, to +2300. Fabio Fognini at +8500 is an interesting line here as the talented Italian has a favorable Round of 16 match-up and then could face a tired Roger Federer in the quarters. Fognini would potentially need to beat Federer, Djokovic and Nadal to lift the title, but those odds for someone who has a decent shot to make the semifinals might be worth throwing something on.

My favorite bet on the men’s side is my favorite bet from the beginning of the tournament and that is Daniil Medvedev to lift the title at +750 odds. It was +900 prior to the tournament, so the odds have not changed much, so I am sticking with my winner’s pick. Medvedev has Stan Wawrinka (15), then potentially Alex Zverev (7) or Andrey Rublev (17), before a potential semifinal against Rafael Nadal (1) and a potential final against Novak Djokovic (2).

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