The Toronto Maple Leafs head on their yearly West Coast road trip early this year, rolling into Sin City to take on the Vegas Golden Knights in Monday night NHL action. Here, we break down Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights in our NHL picks for Monday night.
Toronto’s trip to Vegas is the second game of a five game road trip as the Leafs will end October with a California swing. The Leafs started the trip on the right foot, beating the Winnipeg Jets 4-1 on Saturday night to move to 4-2 on the season.
Oddsmakers have things close to even between the Knights and Leafs in terms of pregame odds. The Leafs are the slight favorites at -113 moneyline odds while the Knights are hardly underdogs at -106. The Over/Under is set at 6.5 goals.
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Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights Betting Pick
This game will be played at the T-Mobile Arena at 10:00 PM ET on Monday, October 24, 2022.
Frontrunning Golden Knights
Vegas has a respectable 4-2 record on the season, however that mark has been built off the back of wins against mediocre teams.
The Knights wins have come against the Chicago Blackhawks, Seattle Kraken, Winnipeg Jets and Los Angeles Kings. Hardly a list of teams pundits had going deep in the playoffs in the preseason previews.
Against top teams, the Knights have struggled so far. Both the Calgary Flames and Colorado Avalanche flexed their muscles against the Knights, whose two losses this season came against top tier opposition.
Hosting the Leafs is an opportunity for the Knights to prove their hot start wasn’t the result of frontrunning against bad teams. The jury is out if that is possible as bettors should be wary of backing VGK against the upper echelon of the league until they can prove they can punch above their weight.
A silver lining for the Knights is the Leafs already have an early track record of dropping games they should win. Toronto’s two losses this season came against teams expected to finish near the bottom of the standings as the Arizona Coyotes and Montreal Canadiens both shocked the Maple Leafs in upset wins.
Russian netminder Ilya Samsonov has been a revelation for the Maple Leafs since he has stepped into the crease in place of Matt Murray.
After replacing Murray following his injury after the opening night loss to the Habs, Samsonov has been outstanding in all of the Leafs four wins to date this season. Samsonov has racked up an impressive .938 save percentage and has made enough big saves to get the job done.
Samsonov is expected to make all but one start in the Leafs Western swing and for good reason as he is beyond red hot between the pipes. Expect another quality outing from him in this Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights contest.
Leafs Best Bet
Getting good goaltending from Samsonov and filling the back of the net in bunches, the Leafs should earn another early season win over the Golden Knights.
Vegas have yet to prove they can hang with the top dogs in the league and after falling flat against the Avs and Flames, it’s unwise to back them to beat the Leafs. Toronto’s firepower should vanquish the Golden Knights here, making Leafs -113 moneyline the best bet in this Monday night NHL affair.