An Atlantic division battle is set for Tuesday night when the Toronto Maple Leafs (76 points) visit the Buffalo Sabres (60 points). Toronto is second in the division but are just three points ahead of third. Buffalo is fifth in the division but are just three points out of the Wild Card. Below is my NHL pick for Toronto vs Buffalo.
Maple Leafs vs Sabres Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Buffalo Moneyline (+131) |
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This game will be played at KeyBank Center at 7:30 p.m. on Tuesday, February 21, 2023.
Why Bet the Sabres:
✅ Buffalo is 4-2 in their last six games against the Maple Leafs.
✅ Toronto is 1-4 in their last five road games.
✅ The Maple Leafs are 2-5 in their last seven Atlantic division games.
NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs
Buffalo Sabres
Team Records
| TOR | Team Records | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 21-10-2 | Overall | 11-18-4 |
| 0-0 | Shootout | 1-1 |
| 3-2 | Overtime | 2-3 |
| 14-4-0 | Home | 6-10-3 |
| 7-6-2 | Road | 5-8-1 |
| 11-8-1 | EAS | 4-14-2 |
| 10-2-1 | WES | 7-4-2 |
| 7-4-1 | ATL | 3-6-1 |
| 4-4-0 | MET | 1-8-1 |
| 5-2-1 | CEN | 3-3-1 |
| 5-0-0 | PAC | 4-1-1 |
| 6-1-2 | ≤1 | 4-5-4 |
| 8-6-0 | ≥3 | 3-7-0 |
| 6-4-1 | Oct | 4-5-1 |
| 8-3-1 | Nov | 7-6-1 |
| 7-3-0 | Dec | 0-7-2 |
| 0-0-0 | Jan | 0-0-0 |
| 0-0-0 | Feb | 0-0-0 |
| 0-0-0 | Mar | 0-0-0 |
| 0-0-0 | Apr | 0-0-0 |
Team Stats
| TOR | Team Stats | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 103 | Goals For | 95 |
| 87 | Goals Agst | 115 |
| 3.03 | PP For GM | 2.91 |
| .61 | PP Goals GM | .39 |
| 20.00 | PP% | 13.54 |
| 3.39 | PP Agst GM | 3.3 |
| .58 | PP Agst Goals GM | .76 |
| 83.04 | PK% | 77.06 |
| 8.6 | PIM GM | 10.8 |
| 7.8 | oPIM GM | 9.1 |
Goalies
| I. Samsonov | U. Luukkonen | |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | GP | 8 |
| 40 | GS | 8 |
| 23-7-8 | W-L-T/O | 3-4-1 |
| 120 | Goals Allowed | 25 |
| 3.13 | GAA | 3.16 |
| 1087 | Shots Against | 233 |
| .890 | SV% | .893 |
| 3 | SO | 0 |
| 19 | Quality Starts | 4 |
| .475 | QS% | .500 |
| 9 | Bad Starts | 1 |
| 114 | Goals All.% | 105 |
| -14.93 | Goals Sv Above Avg | -1.26 |
Recent Starts
| Date | Opp | W/L | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/29/22 NYR | Georgiev ML N/A | L2-3 TOTAL N/A | 3 | 33 | 30 | .909 |
| 4/26/22 NYI | Sorokin ML N/A | L1-4 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 26 | 22 | .846 |
| 4/20/22 VEG | Thompson ML N/A | L3-4 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 30 | 26 | .867 |
| 4/18/22 COL | Kuemper ML N/A | W3-2 TOTAL N/A | 2 | 26 | 24 | .923 |
| 4/14/22 TOR | Campbell ML N/A | L3-7 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 19 | 15 | .789 |
| Date | Opp | W/L | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/11/22 TB | Vasilevskiy ML N/A | L1-6 TOTAL N/A | 2 | 9 | 7 | .778 |
| 1/6/22 SJ | Hill ML N/A | L2-3 TOTAL N/A | 3 | 21 | 18 | .857 |
| 1/1/22 BOS | Ullmark ML N/A | L3-4 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 41 | 37 | .902 |
| 12/29/21 NJ | Blackwood ML N/A | L3-4 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 42 | 38 | .905 |
| 12/16/21 MIN | Talbot ML N/A | W3-2 TOTAL N/A | 2 | 32 | 30 | .938 |
Betting Trends
| TOR | Betting Trends | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 4.33 | Avg Score | 4.33 |
| 2.67 | Avg Opp Score | 3.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 2.67 | Avg Score | 3 |
| 2.67 | Avg Opp Score | 5 |
| TOR | Betting Trends | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 3.8 | Avg Score | 3.2 |
| 2.4 | Avg Opp Score | 4.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 2.4 | Avg Score | 2.6 |
| 3.2 | Avg Opp Score | 4.2 |
| TOR | Betting Trends | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
| 3.6 | Avg Score | 3.5 |
| 2.8 | Avg Opp Score | 3.5 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 3.4 | Avg Score | 3 |
| 3.5 | Avg Opp Score | 4.1 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Toronto Maple Leafs
Last time out, Toronto visited the Chicago Blackhawks and were beaten 5-3. This game was tied at one, after one, but Chicago extended their lead to 3-1. Toronto tied it up midway through the third, but the Blackhawks scored the last two goals of the game to get the win.
John Tavares, Noel Acciari, and Mitch Marner all scored in the game. Five Maple Leafs recorded at least one assist in the defeat.
Toronto has been balanced this year as William Nylander has a team high 31 goals and Mitch Marner leads the way with 46 assists and 66 points. The Maple Leafs score 3.40 goals per game and allow just 2.65.
Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo took a trip to San Jose and left with a 4-2 victory. These two teams were deadlocked after two, but the Sabres scored two third period goals to earn both points.
Dylan Cozens, Own Power, Jeff Skinner, and Alex Tuch all scored for Buffalo. Four Sabres recorded at least one assist in the win.
Tage Thompson is having a remarkable season as he leads Buffalo with 36 goals and 71 points. Rasmus Dahlin has dished out a team high 45 assists. The Sabres are scoring 3.70 goals per game and allow 3.44.
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