In what could be a Stanley Cup preview, the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Colorado Avalanche collide at the Pepsi Center. This East-West matchup gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, February 17, and it can be viewed live on Altitude Sports & Entertainment.
Tampa Bay Lightning at Colorado Avalanche Odds
Playing the role of favorite will be Tampa Bay (-115), whereas Colorado is a dog offering moneyline odds of -105, and the Over/Under (O/U) has been placed at an even 6 goals. The odds for betting the total sit at -120 for the over and even money (+100) for the under at William Hill NJ Sportsbook.
Tampa Bay is 39-20 straight up (SU) and has earned moneyline bettors 6.8 units this season. Through 59 regular season outings, 29 of its games have gone over the total, while 27 have gone under and just three have pushed. This 2019-20 Lightning team is 19-11 SU on the road.
Tampa Bay has converted on 23.2 percent of its power play opportunities this season, a figure that’s good enough for seventh-best in the league. Additionally, it has the sixth-strongest penalty kill in the league, and the team’s successfully killed off 83.6 percent of all penalties.
Tampa Bay, as a collective unit, has been called for penalties 4.0 times per game during the 2019-20 season, 4.4 per game over its last five matchups total, and 3.6 per game over its last five road outings. The team’s been forced to kill penalties 8.8 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.
Averaging 28.2 saves per game with a .921 save percentage, Andrei Vasilevskiy (32-12-3) has been the primary option in goal for Tampa Bay this season. If Tampa Bay chooses to rest him, however, they may turn to Curtis McElhinney (7-8-2 record, .913 save percentage, 2.75 goals against average).
The visiting Lightning have relied on Nikita Kucherov and Steven Stamkos this year. Kucherov (72 points) has tallied 28 goals and 44 assists, and has recorded multiple points 22 times. Stamkos has 26 goals and 35 assists to his name (and has registered a point in 37 games).
On the other side of the rink, Colorado is 33-24 straight up (SU) and has netted 1.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. Through 57 regular season contests, 28 of its games have gone over the total, while 27 have gone under and just two have pushed. It’s 15-13 SU at home this year.
Colorado has converted on 19.3 percent of its power play opportunities this season, a figure that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 23rd overall, and it’s successfully killed off 78.2 percent of all penalties.
The Avalanche have been penalized 3.7 times per game this season, and 2.8 per game over their last five home outings. The team’s had to stave off opponent power plays just 7.5 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.
Philipp Grubauer (27.1 saves per game) has been the primary option in goal for Colorado. Grubauer has 19 wins, 17 losses, and four OT losses to his name and has recorded a .916 save percentage and 2.63 goals against average this year.
Nathan MacKinnon (32 goals, 48 assists) will pace the offensive attack for the Avs.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche Betting Picks
Prediction: SU Winner – Avalanche, O/U – Over
The under has hit in each of Colorado’s last five outings.
Extra-man opportunities may have a critical role in tonight’s matchup. The Lightning are 13-7 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 24-11 in games where they’re in the box for fewer than 10 penalty minutes, total. The Avalanche are 18-9 when the team serves fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 24-11 in games where total penalty minutes are in the single digits.
Colorado is ranked 10th with 8.2 takeaways per game. That figure’s trended lower recently, however, as it has averaged 6.7 takeaways over its last 10 games and 6.4 takeaways over its last five.
Tampa Bay has allowed 2.6 goals per game overall this season, but is allowing just 1.6 per match up over their 10-game winning streak.
Tampa Bay is ranked 18th with 7.1 takeaways per game. That figure has trended upward recently, as the team has averaged 8.2 takeaways over its last 10 games and 8.8 takeaways over its last five.
Tampa Bay might hold an advantage if this one comes down to the wire. The team’s 16-11 in games decided by one goal, while Colorado is 7-10 in such games.