ATS Sports Betting Picks – Against The Spread Predictions
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penguins vs lightning
NHL Picks & Betting News

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Pick & Promos 3/2/23

March 2nd, 2023 By: Vincent Senick

An Eastern Conference showdown is set for Thursday night when the Pittsburgh Penguins (69 point) visit the Tampa Bay Lightning (78 points). Pittsburgh is fifth in the Metropolitan but do occupy the second Wild Card spot. Tampa Bay is comfortably in third in the Atlantic. Below is my NHL prediction for Penguins vs Lightning.

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Penguins vs Lightning Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick: Lightning Moneyline (-169)
🎁 Recommended Sportsbook Promo: First Bet on Caesars up to $1,250
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This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 2, 2023.

Why Bet the Lightning:

✅ Tampa Bay is 14-3 in their last 17 home games.

✅ The Lightning are 5-3-2 in their last 10 games overall.

✅ Pittsburgh is 3-12 in their last 15 Eastern Conference games.

The Pick: Lightning Moneyline (-169)

Caesars Pick
Bet Now

Mar 02, 2023 07:00 PM

Pittsburgh Penguins

VS

Tampa Bay Lightning

Matchup Odds Trends

MoneyLine Consensus

+137
RiversCasinoPA
$500 Second Chance Bet
-164

21% PIT

TB 79%

Total Consensus

6.5/-115
RiversCasinoPA
$500 Second Chance Bet
6.5/-105

25% UN

OV 75%

PuckLine Consensus

+1.5/-175
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
-1.5/+150

50% PIT

TB 50%

Team Records

PIT Team Records TB
36-27-10Overall42-26-6
1-1Shootout3-2
8-9Overtime5-4
20-11-5Home25-7-5
16-16-5Road17-19-1
18-16-10EAS21-18-3
18-11-0WES21-8-3
9-7-5ATL11-11-1
9-9-5MET10-7-2
11-2-0CEN12-3-1
7-9-0PAC9-5-2
14-7-10≤112-6-6
15-14-0≥321-12-0
4-4-1Oct5-4-0
7-4-3Nov8-4-1
8-3-2Dec10-3-0
5-5-3Jan9-4-0
6-5-0Feb5-4-3
6-6-1Mar5-7-2
0-0-0Apr0-0-0

Team Stats

PIT Team Stats TB
234Goals For250
235Goals Agst228
3.44PP For GM3.46
.74PP Goals GM.86
21.51PP%25.00
3.16PP Agst GM3.15
.66PP Agst Goals GM.65
79.22PK%79.40
8.5PIM GM11.7
9.2oPIM GM12.3

Goalies

T. Jarry A. Vasilevskiy
40GP55
40GS55
21-10-6W-L-T/O31-20-4
111Goals Allowed148
2.98GAA2.69
1207Shots Against1714
.908SV%.914
1SO2
25Quality Starts33
.625QS%.600
5Bad Starts9
96Goals All.%90
4.80Goals Sv Above Avg16.45

Recent Starts

T. Jarry A. Vasilevskiy
Date Opp W/L GA SA SV SV%
4/14/22
NYI
Sorokin
ML N/A
W6-3
TOTAL N/A
3
39
36
.923
4/9/22
WAS
Samsonov
ML N/A
L3-6
TOTAL N/A
4
43
39
.907
4/7/22
NYR
Shesterkin
ML N/A
L0-3
TOTAL N/A
2
23
21
.913
4/5/22
COL
Kuemper
ML N/A
L4-6
TOTAL N/A
5
31
26
.839
4/2/22
COL
Kuemper
ML N/A
L2-3
TOTAL N/A
3
38
35
.921
Date Opp W/L GA SA SV SV%
5/4/22
TOR
Campbell
ML N/A
W5-3
TOTAL N/A
3
34
31
.912
5/2/22
TOR
Campbell
ML N/A
L0-5
TOTAL N/A
5
32
27
.844
4/29/22
NYI
Sorokin
ML N/A
W6-4
TOTAL N/A
4
37
33
.892
4/26/22
CBJ
Merzlikins
ML N/A
W4-1
TOTAL N/A
1
21
20
.952
4/24/22
FLA
Bobrovsky
ML N/A
W8-4
TOTAL N/A
4
39
35
.897

Betting Odds


  • MoneyLine
  • PuckLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
PIT
TB
PIT
TB
Consensus
+130
-154
+137
-164
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $150
+145
-170
+140
-165
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+140
-170
+132
-160
BetRivers
$500 Second Chance Bet
+148
-180
+138
-162
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+143
-170
+140
-165
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
+145
-175
+140
-165
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
+145
-175
+145
-175
Open
Current
Book
PIT
TB
PIT
TB
Consensus
+1.5 -179
-1.5 +135
+1.5 -179
-1.5 +146
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $150
+1.5 -175
-1.5 +135
+1.5 -175
-1.5 +150
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+1.5 -176
-1.5 +138
+1.5 -176
-1.5 +140
BetRivers
$500 Second Chance Bet
+1.5 -180
-1.5 +138
+1.5 -180
-1.5 +148
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+1.5 -178
-1.5 +135
+1.5 -178
-1.5 +150
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
+1.5 -175
-1.5 +145
+1.5 -175
-1.5 +145
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
+1.5 -165
-1.5 +135
+1.5 -165
-1.5 +135
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
6.5 -120
6.5 +100
6.5 -112
6.5 -108
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $150
6.5 -120
6.5 +100
6.5 -105
6.5 -115
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
6.5 -124
6.5 +102
6.5 -110
6.5 -110
BetRivers
$500 Second Chance Bet
6.5 +102
6.5 -121
6.5 -114
6.5 -104
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
6.5 -120
6.5 +100
6.5 +100
6.5 -120
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
6.5 -120
6.5 +100
6.5 -105
6.5 -115
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
6.5 -125
6.5 +105
6.5 -120
6.5 +100

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
PIT Betting Trends TB
OVERALLOVERALL
3-0-0Win/Loss/Tie1-2-0
2-1-0ATS W/L/P1-2-0
4.33Avg Score2.33
2Avg Opp Score3.67
AWAYHOME
2-1-0Win/Loss/Tie1-2-0
2-1-0ATS W/L/P1-2-0
3.33Avg Score4
2.67Avg Opp Score3.67
PIT Betting Trends TB
OVERALLOVERALL
3-2-0Win/Loss/Tie2-3-0
2-3-0ATS W/L/P2-3-0
3.4Avg Score3.6
3.4Avg Opp Score3.6
AWAYHOME
3-2-0Win/Loss/Tie2-3-0
3-2-0ATS W/L/P2-3-0
2.6Avg Score4
3Avg Opp Score3
PIT Betting Trends TB
OVERALLOVERALL
5-5-0Win/Loss/Tie5-5-0
5-5-0ATS W/L/P4-6-0
3.2Avg Score3.4
3.7Avg Opp Score2.8
AWAYHOME
4-6-0Win/Loss/Tie7-3-0
8-2-0ATS W/L/P6-4-0
2.7Avg Score4.3
3Avg Opp Score2.8

Head to Head

Date TM ML Tot 1st 2nd 3rd OT SC
02/26/23
TB
PIT
-110
-110
Ov6.5
Un6.5
2
1
0
6
1
0

3
7
10/15/22
TB
PIT
+141
-170
Ov6.5
Un6.5
1
1
0
1
1
4

2
6
03/03/22
PIT
TB
+145
-176
Ov6.0
Un6.0
2
0
1
1
2
0

5
1
10/26/21
TB
PIT
-128
+106
Ov5.5
Un5.5
0
0
3
0
2
1

5
1
10/12/21
PIT
TB
+223
-278
Ov6.0
Un6.0
0
0
2
0
4
2

6
2
02/11/20
TB
PIT
+103
-126
Ov6.0
Un6.0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
02/06/20
PIT
TB
+136
-166
Ov6.5
Un6.5
0
2
1
1
1
1

2
4
10/23/19
PIT
TB
+196
-243
Ov6.5
Un6.5
0
1
2
0
0
2

2
3
02/09/19
PIT
TB
+160
-170
Ov6.5
Un6.5
1
2
2
1
1
2

4
5
01/30/19
TB
PIT
-107
-103
Ov6.5
Un6.5
0
3
0
1
2
0

2
4

Teams Last 10

Pittsburgh Penguins Tampa Bay Lightning
Date TM ML Tot 1st 2nd 3rd OT SC
03/25/23
WAS
PIT
+51
-61
Ov1.2
Un1.2
0
0
0
0
1
0

1
1
03/23/23
PIT
DAL
+49
-58
Ov0.8
Un0.8
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
03/22/23
PIT
COL
+140
-168
Ov7.5
Un7.5
0
0
3
1
2
1

6
2
03/20/23
OTT
PIT
+140
-168
Ov7.1
Un7.1
1
0
0
0
1
1

2
1
03/18/23
PIT
NYR
+211
-251
Ov11.0
Un11.0
0
6
0
11
0
0

0
10
03/16/23
PIT
NYR
+193
-228
Ov10.5
Un10.5
0
3
3
3
3
5

5
10
03/14/23
MON
PIT
+438
-557
Ov10.1
Un10.1
10
5
0
5
5
0

14
10
03/11/23
PHI
PIT
+155
-191
Ov3.2
Un3.2
0
0
0
0
0
1

0
2
03/04/23
PIT
FLA
+165
-197
Ov13.4
Un13.4
0
2
2
4
0
2

2
8
02/28/23
PIT
NAS
-204
+170
Ov13.1
Un13.1
0
0
0
0
7
2

7
2
Date TM ML Tot 1st 2nd 3rd OT SC
03/25/23
TB
BOS
+61
-75
Ov1.1
Un1.1
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
03/23/23
TB
OTT
-47
+39
Ov0.8
Un0.8
0
0
0
0
0
1

0
1
03/21/23
TB
MON
-74
+60
Ov0.5
Un0.5
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
03/19/23
NJ
TB
-98
-116
Ov6.1
Un6.1
0
1
3
1
2
0

5
2
03/18/23
MON
TB
+425
-533
Ov11.0
Un11.0
3
3
6
3
0
9

9
14
03/14/23
TB
NJ
+192
-228
Ov10.1
Un10.1
2
2
7
0
0
0

10
2
03/12/23
WPG
TB
+220
-267
Ov13.2
Un13.2
2
2
4
2
0
0

7
4
03/11/23
CHI
TB
+265
-353
Ov3.2
Un3.2
0
0
0
0
0
1

0
1
03/07/23
PHI
TB
+189
-234
Ov3.7
Un3.7
1
1
1
2
0
1

1
3
03/05/23
TB
CAR
+104
-126
Ov3.1
Un3.1
0
1
0
1
0
1

0
3
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Pittsburgh Penguins

Last time out, Pittsburgh visited the Nashville Predators and left with a solid road win. This game was scoreless going into the third period, but that changed in a big way. Nashville got on the board first, seven minutes into the game, but the Penguins scored three goals in the final nine minutes to get both points.

Sidney Crosby, Jason Zucker, and Bryan Rust all scored on the night. Four Penguins recorded at least one assist in the victory.

Sidney Crosby still has it as he leads Pittsburgh with 27 goals, 45 assists, and 72 points this season. The Penguins are scoring 3.23 goals per game and allow 3.17.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay hosted the Florida Panthers and were beaten 4-1. The Panthers put this game away early as they scored three goals in an 11-minute span and led 3-0 after the first period. Tampa got one back in the second, but could never get fully back into the game.

Brayden Point scored the only Lightning goal and he was assisted by Steven Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov.

Nikita Kucherov is having one of the better seasons in the NHL as he leads Tampa Bay with 63 assists and 86 points. Brayden Point has a team high 37 goals. The Lightning are scoring 3.52 goals per game and allow 2.97.

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Tags: Pittsburgh Penguins, Tampa Bay Lightning

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