Sean Couturier, Travis Konecny, and the Philadelphia Flyers will do battle against Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos, and the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena for an Eastern Conference showdown. NBC Sports Philadelphia will broadcast the matchup, and the opening face-off takes place at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12.
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
Sportsbooks are offering a -150 moneyline, Tampa Bay heads into the contest as the substantial favorite. The line for the Flyers sits at +130, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at an even 6 goals (-115 for the over, -105 for the under). After originally posting at -105 over and -115 under, those O/U odds have shifted.
Tampa Bay is 43-27 straight up (SU) and has lost 0.8 units for moneyline bettors this year. That win percentage, the NHL’s second-best so far in the early season, is a noticeable slide from what the team recorded during last year’s regular season (62-20). Through 70 regular season matches, 36 of its games have gone over the total, while 30 have gone under and just four have pushed. The team is 22-12 SU at home this year.
The Lightning have converted on 23.1 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a figure that’s good enough for seventh-best in the NHL. On the other hand, their penalty kill is ranked 13th overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 81.5 percent of all penalties.
Averaging 28.3 saves per game with a .917 save percentage, Andrei Vasilevskiy (35-17-3) has been the top option in goal for the Bolts this season. If the Bolts decide to give him the night off, however, Tampa Bay might roll with Curtis McElhinney (8-10-10 record, .906 save percentage, 2.89 goals against average).
Philadelphia has earned 12.6 units for moneyline bettors this year and is currently 41-28 straight up (SU). Through 69 regular season matches, 36 of its games have gone over the total, while 31 have gone under the total and just two have pushed. The Flyers are 16-18 SU as the road team this season.
The Flyers have converted on 20.7 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a figure that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 13th overall and it’s successfully defended 81.9 percent of all penalties.
Carter Hart (2.42 goals against average and .914 save percentage) has been the main option in goal for Philadelphia. Hart is averaging 23.4 saves per game and has 24 wins, 19 losses, and three OT losses to his credit.
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Predictions
Free Pick: SU Winner – Lightning, O/U – Over
The Lightning are 2-1 in games that go to shootout. The Flyers are 5-5 in shootouts.
For both of these teams, the under has hit in three of their last five games.
Nine of Philadelphia’s last ten games have been decided by two goals or more. The team is 8-1 in those games.
The Lightning this season have tallied the seventh-most hits per game in the NHL (24.0), but that average has jumped up to 26.6 over their past five home outings.