The 2020 NHL Playoffs continue Sunday, August 30, with Game 4 of the Western Conference second-round series between the Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars. The Avs have outlasted the Stars in their previous duel and will look to tie the series Sunday night at Rogers Place in Edmonton.
All previous games in this series have been very exciting, and we’re looking for more of the same in Game 4. Hereof, we have prepared all need-to-know betting tips and trends along with the best betting pick for the Central Division showdown between the Avs and Stars.
The Avalanche are without their starting goalie Philipp Grubauer, defenseman Erik Johnson, and winger Matt Calvert. The Stars miss their starting goaltender, too, as Ben Bishop has resumed skating but is still unfit to play.
The bookies favor the Avs since the start of the series, and Colorado is listed as a -135 money line fave to win Game 4, according to Sugarhouse. The Stars are +122 underdogs on BetAmerica, while the totals are set at 6.0 goals on the vast majority of online sportsbooks.
What’s at Stake?
The Stars will be one step away from the conference finals if they pull off an upset here. The Avs will be in big trouble if they lose, so the stake is huge for both clubs.
Dallas surprisingly won the first two games of the series 5-3 and 5-2. The Stars looked sharp, but their defense fell apart in Game 3, so the Avalanche cut the deficit thanks to a 6-4 victory. That previous clash was pure madness, and the momentum could be on the Avs’ side.
Game 3 was a proper rollercoaster, as the Stars had a 1-0 lead after the first 20 minutes, while the Avs had a 3-1 lead at the end of the 2nd period. Then, the Stars netted three straight times to restore their lead, but the Avs’ had the last laugh and scored three unanswered goals in the last eight minutes of the 3rd period.
The first three games produced a bunch of goals which is a massive surprise. The Stars had the second-best defense in the NHL this past regular season, yielding just 2.52 goals per contest, but their offense was 26th in goals per game (2.58).
On the other side, the Avs were tallying 3.37 goals per game (4th in the NHL) in the regular season while surrendering 2.71 in a return (6th).
Pavel Francouz will guard the cage for the Avs, and he’s 2-3 with a 2.69 GAA and a .908 save percentage this postseason. On the other side, we’ll see Anton Khudobin, who’s 6-4 on the postseason with a 2.75 GAA and a .913 save percentage.
The Stars have won six of their last eight encounters with the Avs, but the bookies continue to favor Colorado. Back in the round-robin tournament, the Avs blanked the Stars 4-0.
Anyway, I think this game could easily go either way. That Game 3 rollercoaster showed us how unpredictable this series can be. Therefore, I would avoid picking the winner and take the totals instead.
The first three games of the series went in the over, and I think both teams will have to focus and find their defensive mojo. They’ve had some time to regroup and work on their defensive flaws, so I’m backing the under on the totals at -115 odds.
The under has hit in seven straight encounters between Colorado and Dallas before the start of this playoff series.