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Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues
November 21st, 2019

Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues Free Pick 11/21/19

Mike McDermott Mike McDermott

The Enterprise Center will be hosting an intriguing showdown as the Calgary Flames visit Missouri to take on the St. Louis Blues. This Western Conference matchup gets going at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 21 and it can be viewed live on Fox Sports Midwest.

Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues Odds

St. Louis (-150) is currently favored over Calgary (+130), and the oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 6 goals. The line for betting that total stands at -120 under, +100 over.

Earning moneyline bettors 0.8 units, the Blues are 13-9 straight up (SU) overall this year. That winning percentage, the second-best in the Central Division in this young season, hasn’t moved much from the 45-37 record the team managed during last year’s regular season campaign. Out of its 22 regular season outings, 13 of them have gone under the total, while nine have gone over and none have pushed. The team is 6-5 SU at home this season.

St. Louis has been able to convert on 25.0 percent of its power play opportunities this year, a figure that places them in the top-10 among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill is rated 15th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 82.8 percent of all penalties.

As a collective unit, St. Louis has been whistled for penalties just 3.3 times per game overall this season, 3.0 per game over its last five matchups total, and 3.0 per game over its last five home outings. The team’s had to stave off opposition power plays for just 6.2 minutes per game over its last 10 matchups, overall.

Averaging 27.1 saves per game with a .920 save percentage, Jordan Binnington (10-7-4) has been the top goalkeeper for the Blues this year. If they decide to give him the evening off, however, the team may roll with Jake Allen (3-2-2 record, .893 save percentage, 3.19 goals against average).

The Blue Notes will continue to lean on the offensive production out of David Perron and Ryan O’Reilly. Perron (20 points) has tallied nine goals and 11 assists and has recorded multiple points four times this year. O’Reilly has five goals and 15 assists to his name and has recorded at least one point in 10 games.

In the other locker room, Calgary is 10-14 straight up (SU) and has lost 7.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline thus far. Through 24 regular season matches, 14 of its games have gone under the total, while eight have gone over and just two have pushed. Calgary’s 4-9 SU as the visiting team this season.

Calgary has converted on 16.9 percent of its power play chances this season, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked fifth overall and it’s successfully defended 85.9 percent of all penalties.

Calgary’s players have been penalized 4.4 times per game in total this season, 4.8 per game over their last five match ups total, and 4.6 per game over their last five games as the visiting team. The team’s been forced to kill penalties 8.6 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

David Rittich (2.73 goals against average and .913 save percentage) has been the primary option in goal for Calgary. Rittich is averaging 28.4 saves per game and owns a 9-9-3 record.

Matthew Tkachuk (10 goals, 10 assists) and Johnny Gaudreau (five goals, 13 assists) have been the top playmakers for Calgary and will lead the attack for the visiting Flames.

Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues Free Picks

NHL Prediction: O/U โ€“ Over

Betting Trends

The total has gone under in each of St. Louis’ last five games.

The extra-man advantage could play a critical role in the outcome of this game. The Flames are 4-4 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 7-8 in games where they serve fewer than 10 total penalty minutes. The Blues are 8-2 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 10-6 when they’re in the box for less than 10 minutes.

St. Louis is 0-2 in games decided by a shootout this season while Calgary is 2-0 in shootouts.

St. Louis skaters have averaged 7.2 takeaways per game over its last five home games, a slight drop from its season average of 7.5 takeaways per game (ranked 15th overall).

Calgary has scored 2.6 goals per game as a team this year, but is down to 1.0 goal per match up over its five-game losing streak.

Calgary has averaged 6.0 takeaways per game over its last five road games, a drop-off from its season average of 8.3 takeaways per game (ranked 10th overall).

Previous article

Vancouver Canucks at Nashville Predators Matchup, Pick & Preview 11/21/19

Next article

San Jose Sharks vs. Vegas Golden Knights Game Prediction & Preview 11/21/19

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