Tyreek Hill projections and prop bets for Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins on Nov 17, 2024
Tyreek Hill Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 59.5 over: -155
- Receiving Yards 59.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Miami Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Tyreek Hill to total 7.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
Tyreek Hill has been one of the best wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 5.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 77th percentile.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been lousy this year, projecting as the worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 126.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Raiders, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
Tyreek Hill has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (81.0 per game) than he did last year (113.0 per game).
Projection For Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Tyreek Hill is projected to have 66.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
