Tua Tagovailoa projections and prop bets for Arizona Cardinals at Miami Dolphins on Oct 27, 2024
Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -105
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
With a 60.0% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football in these cases has been the Miami Dolphins.
The Dolphins have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 63.0 plays per game.
Tua Tagovailoa has been among the best TD passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 1.63 per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in football vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (76.1% Adjusted Completion%).
The Arizona Cardinals defense has been torched for the 10th-most passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.43 per game this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 3-point favorite in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Tua Tagovailoa to throw 32.7 passes this week, on average: the 10th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
Projection For Tua Tagovailoa Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 1.7 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 240.5 over: -110
- Passing Yards 240.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The Dolphins have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 63.0 plays per game.
Tua Tagovailoa rates as one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 274.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 96th percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in football vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (76.1% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the porous Arizona Cardinals defense has been torched for the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing squads: a staggering 8.49 yards.
The Arizona cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 3-point favorite in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Tua Tagovailoa to throw 32.7 passes this week, on average: the 10th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
Projection For Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop Bet
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 256.6 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
