Jay Sanin on December 25, 2024
Ja'Marr Chase projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals on Dec 28, 2024
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 65.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
With a top-tier 97.6% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase stands as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
Ja'Marr Chase's 7.3 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a noteable improvement in his receiving skills over last season's 6.3 mark.
The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.
The Denver Broncos cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
Ja'Marr Chase is projected to have 7 Receptions in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 65.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
With a top-tier 97.6% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase stands as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
Ja'Marr Chase's 96.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks an impressive progression in his receiving skills over last season's 75.0 mark.
The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.
The Broncos pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.63 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-fewest in football.
The Denver Broncos cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
Ja'Marr Chase is projected to have 86.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
