Jay Sanin on November 13, 2024
Tua Tagovailoa projections and prop bets for Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins on Nov 17, 2024
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
The Miami Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been lousy this year, projecting as the worst in football.
An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 126.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
In logging a meager 26.2 pass attempts per game this year, Tua Tagovailoa stands among the bottom QBs in football (25th percentile) for this stat.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Raiders, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
The Miami Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 126.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
In logging a meager 26.2 pass attempts per game this year, Tua Tagovailoa stands among the bottom QBs in football (25th percentile) for this stat.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Raiders, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 30.2 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
The Miami Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
With a remarkable 72.0% Adjusted Completion% (87th percentile) this year, Tua Tagovailoa has been among the most accurate QBs in football.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the league against the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the weak Raiders defense has been torched for a monstrous 1.67 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-worst rate in the NFL.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been lousy this year, projecting as the worst in football.
An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 126.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
In logging a meager 26.2 pass attempts per game this year, Tua Tagovailoa stands among the bottom QBs in football (25th percentile) for this stat.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Raiders, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 1.6 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Miami Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
With a remarkable 72.0% Adjusted Completion% (87th percentile) this year, Tua Tagovailoa has been among the most accurate QBs in football.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the league against the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been lousy this year, projecting as the worst in football.
An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 126.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
In logging a meager 26.2 pass attempts per game this year, Tua Tagovailoa stands among the bottom QBs in football (25th percentile) for this stat.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Raiders, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 240.1 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
