Travis Kelce Projections & Prop Bets

Travis Kelce projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers on Oct 20, 2024

Travis Kelce Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 59.5 over: -135
• Receiving Yards 59.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.8% of their chances: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

With an exceptional 87.4% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places as one of the TEs with the most usage in the NFL.

In this week's contest, Travis Kelce is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 99th percentile among TEs with 9.1 targets.

Travis Kelce has put up a monstrous 49.0 air yards per game this year: 97th percentile among tight ends.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

Travis Kelce's 45.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year represents a remarkable decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 68.0 figure.

Travis Kelce's 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 80.1% rate.

Travis Kelce's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, totaling a mere 7.05 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.71 rate last year.

The 49ers defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 34.0) vs. TEs this year.

Projection For Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Travis Kelce is projected to have 64.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.

Travis Kelce Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 6.5 over: 104
• Receptions 6.5 under: -142

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.8% of their chances: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

With an exceptional 87.4% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places as one of the TEs with the most usage in the NFL.

In this week's contest, Travis Kelce is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 99th percentile among TEs with 9.1 targets.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

Travis Kelce's pass-catching performance worsened this year, averaging just 4.8 adjusted catches compared to 6.2 last year.

Travis Kelce's 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 80.1% rate.

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.

Projection For Travis Kelce Receptions Prop Bet

Travis Kelce is projected to have 6.1 Receptions in this weeks game.