Saquon Barkley projections and prop bets for Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals on Oct 27, 2024
Saquon Barkley Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 17.5 over: -115
- Carries 17.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The model projects the Eagles to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.5% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 59.7 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Saquon Barkley to accumulate 17.2 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Saquon Barkley has received 59.7% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 11th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the league this year in regard to run defense.
Projection For Saquon Barkley Carries Prop Bet
Saquon Barkley is projected to have 15.9 Carries in this weeks game.
Saquon Barkley Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: 116
- Receptions 2.5 under: -152
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 59.7 per game on average).
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in football.
In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is projected by the model to position himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.9 targets.
Saquon Barkley ranks as one of the best pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an exceptional 2.7 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Saquon Barkley's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.6% to 89.5%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 11th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Saquon Barkley's 20.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 27.4.
Projection For Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop Bet
Saquon Barkley is projected to have 2.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
Saquon Barkley Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -120
- Receiving Yards 14.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 59.7 per game on average).
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in football.
In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is projected by the model to position himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.9 targets.
In regards to air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the lofty 98th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a superb 8.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
Saquon Barkley's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.6% to 89.5%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 11th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Saquon Barkley's 20.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 27.4.
With a bad 6.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (23rd percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places among the best pass-catching RBs in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.
The Bengals pass defense has shown good efficiency against running backs this year, yielding 5.49 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.
Projection For Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Saquon Barkley is projected to have 18.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Saquon Barkley Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 78.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 78.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Eagles to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.5% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 59.7 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Saquon Barkley to accumulate 17.2 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Saquon Barkley has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (106.0) this year than he did last year (67.0).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the league (140 per game) versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 11th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the league this year in regard to run defense.
Projection For Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Saquon Barkley is projected to have 68.1 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.