New England Patriots

New England Patriots

Nov 3, 2024

Tennessee Titans

Tennessee Titans
  • Overview
  • Props

Rhamondre Stevenson Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Rhamondre Stevenson projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots on Nov 17, 2024

Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 16.5 over: -115
  • Receiving Yards 16.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

In this week's contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 75th percentile among running backs with 2.9 targets.

Rhamondre Stevenson has been a big part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 11.2% this year, which puts him in the 88th percentile among RBs.

Rhamondre Stevenson's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 80.9% to 87.6%.

This year, the porous Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered a colossal 93.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-worst rate in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots as the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.16 seconds per play.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Rams, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (just 27.6 per game) this year.

As it relates to air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the lowly 18th percentile among RBs this year, with just -3.0 per game.

The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.

Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 13.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 54.5 over: -110
  • Rushing Yards 54.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The model projects the New England Patriots as the 7th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 45.8% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to total 15.7 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

Rhamondre Stevenson has received 60.9% of his offense's run game usage this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among running backs.

With an impressive tally of 56.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (77th percentile), Rhamondre Stevenson stands as one of the leading pure runners in the NFL this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.16 seconds per play.

With a lousy record of 3.79 adjusted yards per carry (11th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks as one of the weakest running backs in the league at the position.

This year, the porous Rams run defense has conceded a whopping 4.37 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 25th-largest rate in the league.

The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends grade out as the best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 62.1 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Longest Rush
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Rush
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing Yards
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
14
15
15
14
14
15
15
14
Consensus
-125
-110
-118
-105
-125
-105
-120
-105
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-
-105
-115
-
-
-105
-115
-
-125
-110
-125
-105
-130
-110
-130
-105
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+550
-
+600
Consensus
-
+850
-
+750
Consensus
-
+350
-
+400
Consensus
-
+750
-
+800
Consensus
-
+550
-
+600
Consensus
-192
+147
-202
+144
Consensus
-
+350
-
+320
-
+550
-
+550
-
+900
-
+750
-
+400
-
+390
-
+800
-
+800
-
+500
-
+550
-
+160
-
+170
-
+380
-
+340
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
3
3
3
Consensus
-121
-108
-119
-109
-123
-111
-123
-111
-115
-110
-120
-110
-125
-110
-125
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
75
76
74
73
77
75
76
73
74
77
75
76
74
73
77
75
76
73
74
77
Consensus
-116
-116
-
-
-
-117
-116
-
-
-
-114
-116
-
-
-
-116
-116
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-113
-114
-115
-114
-
-115
-113
-114
-114
-
-115
-115
-114
-115
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-110
-120
-115
-120
-120
-
-110
-115
-115
-
-110
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
17
15
16
15
17
16
17
15
16
15
17
Consensus
-115
-
-
-113
-
-
-118
-
-
-114
-
-
-109
-
-
-125
-
-
-119
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-105
-
-120
-
-125
-110
-105
-
-120
-
-125
-
-
-113
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-113
-
-115
-110
-
-110
-
-120
-120
-110
-
-110
-
-120
-110
-
-
-120
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
15
15
15
15
Consensus
-120
-107
-119
-107
-125
+100
-120
-110
-122
-106
-114
-114
-130
-105
-120
+100
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+3433
+4766
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+910
+775
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
10
11
11
10
10
11
11
10
Consensus
-127
-101
-131
-106
-123
-104
-125
-107
-127
-106
-125
-113
-129
-106
-129
-108
-120
-105
-125
-105
-125
-105
-130
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
56
54
55
53
57
51
13
12
14
56
55
57
54
51
53
12
13
14
56
54
55
53
57
51
13
12
14
56
55
57
54
51
53
12
13
14
Consensus
-115
-115
-116
-114
-112
-
-
-
-
-114
-118
-117
-117
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-115
-112
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-117
-116
-120
-117
-
-115
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-122
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-120
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-115
-115
-127
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-119
-108
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-
-
-127
-115
-127
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-108
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-118
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-122
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-115
-115
-115
-110
-110
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-120
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-