Rhamondre Stevenson projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots on Nov 17, 2024
Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 16.5 over: -115
- Receiving Yards 16.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
In this week's contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 75th percentile among running backs with 2.9 targets.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been a big part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 11.2% this year, which puts him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
Rhamondre Stevenson's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 80.9% to 87.6%.
This year, the porous Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered a colossal 93.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-worst rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the New England Patriots as the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.16 seconds per play.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Rams, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (just 27.6 per game) this year.
As it relates to air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the lowly 18th percentile among RBs this year, with just -3.0 per game.
The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.
Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 13.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 54.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 54.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the New England Patriots as the 7th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 45.8% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to total 15.7 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has received 60.9% of his offense's run game usage this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
With an impressive tally of 56.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (77th percentile), Rhamondre Stevenson stands as one of the leading pure runners in the NFL this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.16 seconds per play.
With a lousy record of 3.79 adjusted yards per carry (11th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks as one of the weakest running backs in the league at the position.
This year, the porous Rams run defense has conceded a whopping 4.37 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 25th-largest rate in the league.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends grade out as the best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.
Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 62.1 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
