Jay Sanin on December 25, 2024
Chuba Hubbard projections and prop bets for Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Dec 29, 2024
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to be the 9th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.1% run rate.
In this game, Chuba Hubbard is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 98th percentile among RBs with 20.4 rush attempts.
Chuba Hubbard has been much more involved in his team's run game this season (71.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (52.0%).
Chuba Hubbard has run for many more adjusted yards per game (74.0) this season than he did last season (53.0).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has had the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, conceding 4.72 adjusted yards-per-carry.
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are heavy underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are forecasted by the projections to call only 63.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.
Chuba Hubbard is projected to have 81.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are heavy underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical approach.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.
Chuba Hubbard has been more involved as a potential target this season (60.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (42.6%).
The leading projections forecast Chuba Hubbard to accumulate 4.9 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
The Buccaneers defense has yielded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (42.0) vs. RBs this year.
The model projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are forecasted by the projections to call only 63.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.
When talking about air yards, Chuba Hubbard ranks in just the 7th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.
Chuba Hubbard's 83.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a material diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last season's 89.0% rate.
Chuba Hubbard is projected to have 19.5 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
