Patrick Mahomes projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders on Oct 27, 2024
Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 233.5 over: -110
- Passing Yards 233.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 66.6% pass rate.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
In this contest, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by the model to have the 9th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.5.
The Kansas City O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
With an outstanding 68.6% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Patrick Mahomes ranks as one of the most accurate QBs in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
With a 10-point advantage, the Chiefs are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
Based on the game dynamics and tendencies of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 26.71 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo among all games this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Raiders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
Patrick Mahomes's 233.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season reflects a significant decrease in his throwing skills over last season's 274.0 mark.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 6th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 195.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.
Projection For Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop Bet
Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 265.3 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: 110
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 66.6% pass rate.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
In this contest, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by the model to have the 9th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.5.
The Kansas City O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
In throwing a staggering 1.48 interceptions per game this year, Patrick Mahomes places among the bottom QBs in the league (6th percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
With a 10-point advantage, the Chiefs are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
Based on the game dynamics and tendencies of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 26.71 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo among all games this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Raiders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
Projection For Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop Bet
Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 19.5 over: -125
- Rushing Yards 19.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 10-point advantage, the Chiefs are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
Patrick Mahomes's ground effectiveness has improved this season, notching 8.65 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 7.12 mark last season.
This year, the fierce Las Vegas Raiders run defense has surrendered a meager 5.17 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 27th-best rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run on 40.3% of their downs: the 11th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and tendencies of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 26.71 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo among all games this week.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
Patrick Mahomes has been much less involved in his team's running game this season (9.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (15.6%).
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Las Vegas's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the best in football.
Projection For Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 21.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -105
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 66.6% pass rate.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
In this contest, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by the model to have the 9th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.5.
The Kansas City O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
With an outstanding 68.6% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Patrick Mahomes ranks as one of the most accurate QBs in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
With a 10-point advantage, the Chiefs are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
Based on the game dynamics and tendencies of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 26.71 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo among all games this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Raiders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
This year, the strong Raiders defense has conceded a meager 1.14 TDs through the air per game to opposing teams: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.
Projection For Patrick Mahomes Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 1.8 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 4.5 over: -140
- Carries 4.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
With a 10-point advantage, the Chiefs are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run on 40.3% of their downs: the 11th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and tendencies of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 26.71 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo among all games this week.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
Patrick Mahomes has been much less involved in his team's running game this season (9.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (15.6%).
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Las Vegas's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the best in football.
Projection For Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop Bet
Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 3.6 Carries in this weeks game.
