Nick Chubb projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns on Oct 27, 2024
Nick Chubb Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 44.5 over: -114
- Rushing Yards 44.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Cleveland Browns.
This week, Nick Chubb is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 76th percentile among RBs with 13.7 rush attempts.
While Nick Chubb has earned 44.8% of his team's run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Cleveland's run game in this week's contest at 55.9%.
Nick Chubb's running efficiency (4.81 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (83rd percentile when it comes to RBs).
With an excellent total of 3.38 yards after contact (89th percentile), Nick Chubb ranks among the most formidable running backs in the NFL since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Browns will be rolling out backup quarterback Jameis Winston this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
The model projects the Browns to be the 6th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 38.3% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
This year, the daunting Ravens run defense has yielded a puny 66.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the best in the NFL.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
Projection For Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Nick Chubb is projected to have 55.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Nick Chubb Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 9.5 over: -105
- Receiving Yards 9.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Browns will be rolling out backup quarterback Jameis Winston this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Cleveland Browns.
Opposing teams have averaged 41.1 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
Projection For Nick Chubb Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Nick Chubb is projected to have 13.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
