Jay Sanin on December 5, 2024
David Njoku projections and prop bets for Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers on Dec 8, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
This week's spread implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 65.0% of their downs: the highest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Browns this year (a monstrous 62.7 per game on average).
With a top-tier 82.9% Route Participation% (97th percentile) this year, David Njoku stands among the tight ends with the highest volume in the league.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Browns ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
David Njoku's 46.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents an impressive reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 55.0 mark.
David Njoku's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a mere 6.09 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.29 rate last season.
David Njoku's 4.06 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a noteworthy decline in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 7.3% mark.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has shown good efficiency against tight ends this year, surrendering 6.92 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the league.
David Njoku is projected to have 46.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
This week's spread implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 65.0% of their downs: the highest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Browns this year (a monstrous 62.7 per game on average).
With an outstanding 5.5 adjusted catches per game (96th percentile) this year, David Njoku rates as one of the top pass-game TEs in the league.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Browns ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
When it comes to defensive ends rushing the passer, Pittsburgh's group of DEs has been great this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.
David Njoku is projected to have 5.2 Receptions in this weeks game.
