Kareem Hunt projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers on Oct 20, 2024
Kareem Hunt Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 52.5 over: -129
- Rushing Yards 52.5 under: -106
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
In this contest, Kareem Hunt is expected by the model to position himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.9 rush attempts.
While Kareem Hunt has earned 38.2% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Kansas City's running game in this contest at 62.6%.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 35.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
Opposing squads have run for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 98.0 per game) vs. the 49ers defense this year.
Projection For Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Kareem Hunt is projected to have 53.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Kareem Hunt Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 13.5 over: -140
- Carries 13.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
In this contest, Kareem Hunt is expected by the model to position himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.9 rush attempts.
While Kareem Hunt has earned 38.2% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Kansas City's running game in this contest at 62.6%.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 35.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
Projection For Kareem Hunt Carries Prop Bet
Kareem Hunt is projected to have 13.5 Carries in this weeks game.
Kareem Hunt Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 13.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 13.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.8% of their chances: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.
The 49ers defense has surrendered the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (43.0) to running backs this year.
The 49ers pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against running backs this year, allowing 7.34 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
Kareem Hunt has posted a feeble -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 15th percentile among RBs.
With a poor 7.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (25th percentile) since the start of last season, Kareem Hunt ranks among the weakest RBs in the pass game in the league.
Kareem Hunt grades out as one of the most unreliable receivers in football when it comes to RBs, completing a mere 74.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 21st percentile.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.
Projection For Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Kareem Hunt is projected to have 14.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Kareem Hunt Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: 118
- Receptions 2.5 under: -152
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.8% of their chances: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.
This year, the shaky 49ers pass defense has been gouged for a staggering 86.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 10th-largest rate in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
Kareem Hunt grades out as one of the most unreliable receivers in football when it comes to RBs, completing a mere 74.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 21st percentile.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.
Projection For Kareem Hunt Receptions Prop Bet
Kareem Hunt is projected to have 2.1 Receptions in this weeks game.
