Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
  • Props

Josh Allen Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Josh Allen projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts on Nov 10, 2024

Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Passing Yards 236.5 over: -115
  • Passing Yards 236.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (62.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bills.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

When talking about pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

With a terrific 7.86 adjusted yards-per-target (83rd percentile) this year, Josh Allen places among the best per-play QBs in football.

This year, the deficient Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded a colossal 257.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 4th-most in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bills have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.

Josh Allen's 229.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a remarkable decline in his passing proficiency over last season's 261.0 rate.

The Colts cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Projection For Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 259.9 Passing Yards in this weeks game.


Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pass Attempts 32.5 over: -120
  • Pass Attempts 32.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (62.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bills.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bills have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.

Projection For Josh Allen Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 32.3 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.


Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Interceptions 0.5 over: -114
  • Interceptions 0.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (62.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bills.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

When talking about pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bills have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.

In averaging just 0.17 interceptions per game this year, Josh Allen rates among the best quarterbacks in the league (84th percentile).

The Colts cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Projection For Josh Allen Interceptions Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.


Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Completions 21.5 over: -114
  • Completions 21.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (62.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bills.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

When talking about pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

This year, the shaky Colts defense has been gouged for a monstrous 78.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the highest rate in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bills have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.

The Colts cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Projection For Josh Allen Completions Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 22.8 Completions in this weeks game.


Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 5.5 over: -129
  • Carries 5.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects Josh Allen to total 5.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Josh Allen isn't afraid to run the ball, taking on 20.1% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among QBs.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bills to run on 41.7% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bills have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Colts defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Projection For Josh Allen Carries Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 5.2 Carries in this weeks game.


Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -114
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (62.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bills.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

When talking about pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

With a terrific ratio of 1.89 per game (88th percentile), Josh Allen rates as one of the best TD passers in football this year.

This year, the shaky Colts defense has been gouged for a monstrous 78.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the highest rate in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bills have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.

The Colts cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Projection For Josh Allen Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 1.8 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.


Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 28.5 over: -112
  • Rushing Yards 28.5 under: -117

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects Josh Allen to total 5.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Josh Allen isn't afraid to run the ball, taking on 20.1% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among QBs.

This year, the shaky Colts run defense has given up a massive 146.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-worst in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bills to run on 41.7% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bills have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Josh Allen's 24.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows a noteworthy regression in his running ability over last season's 32.0 figure.

Projection For Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 28 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Pass
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • To Throw An Interception
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Pass
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • To Throw An Interception
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+430
-
+490
Consensus
-
+410
-
+380
Consensus
-
+700
-
+550
Consensus
-
+250
-
+240
Consensus
-178
+109
-153
+105
Consensus
-
+600
-
+650
Consensus
-
+220
-
+270
-
+450
-
+480
-
+440
-
+420
-
+550
-
+650
-
+300
-
+240
-
-105
-
+100
-
+700
-
+600
-
+240
-
+260
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
22
23
21
22
23
21
22
23
21
22
23
21
Consensus
-120
+106
-
-109
-136
-
-117
+107
-
-113
-132
-
+102
-
-
-108
-
-
-127
-
-
-131
-
-
-115
+100
-
-110
-135
-
-125
+105
-
-115
-135
-
-
-
-128
-
-
-108
-
-
-120
-
-
-102
-125
+100
-
-130
-135
-
-125
+105
-
-105
-135
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
7
6
7
6
7
6
7
6
Consensus
-106
-
-110
-
-113
-
-115
-
-120
-
-115
-
-110
-
-110
-
+102
-
-128
-
-102
-
-132
-
-115
-150
-120
+110
-120
-150
-110
+110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
59
60
273
275
277
271
281
270
274
276
280
269
278
279
272
268
283
59
60
276
278
279
277
280
274
275
270
269
281
268
271
272
273
283
59
60
273
275
277
271
281
270
274
276
280
269
278
279
272
268
283
59
60
276
278
279
277
280
274
275
270
269
281
268
271
272
273
283
Consensus
-113
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-119
-
-
-116
-116
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-118
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-116
-117
-119
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-
-
-116
-117
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-119
-
-119
-
-119
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-119
-
-119
-
-119
-119
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-114
-114
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-114
-114
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-110
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
243
241
242
236
244
238
239
240
245
246
247
249
248
51
52
244
236
239
243
241
242
238
245
240
246
247
249
248
52
51
243
241
242
236
244
238
239
240
245
246
247
249
248
51
52
244
236
239
243
241
242
238
245
240
246
247
249
248
52
51
Consensus
-115
-114
-115
-
-112
-
-115
-114
-116
-115
-112
-
-
-
-
-112
-
-114
-112
-115
-113
-
-114
-114
-114
-118
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-116
-
-114
-
-115
-114
-114
-115
-111
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-115
-114
-115
-115
-
-113
-115
-114
-116
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+675
+700
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
+300
-450
+300
-450
+300
-450
+300
-450
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
26
29
30
31
32
28
4
26
29
30
31
28
32
4
26
29
30
31
32
28
4
26
29
30
31
28
32
Consensus
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-113
-
-
-
-112
-114
-114
-
-117
-
-
-118
-120
-115
-113
-
-
-
-114
-114
-115
-
-117
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-115
-115
-109
-
-115
-
-
-119
-125
-119
-119
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-120
-120
-115
-110
-110
-120
-
-110
-110
-110
-115
-115
-120
-
-120
-120
-115
-110
-110
-120
-
-110
-115
-115
-120
-115
-120
-
-130
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-140
-
-
-
-130
-
-
+100
-
-
-
+100
-
-
-130
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
37
38
36
37
38
36
37
38
36
37
38
36
Consensus
-120
-107
-
-115
-120
-
-116
-108
-
-112
-121
-
-121
-111
-
-121
-123
-
-123
-109
-
-113
-125
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-115
-110
-
-110
-120
-
-110
-110
-
-120
-120
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+18000
+18000
+16000
+18000
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-120
-108
-120
-108
-120
-108
-120
-108
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
1
1
1
Consensus
+103
-137
-105
-135
-104
-131
-104
-131
-105
-135
-105
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
33
32
32
33
33
32
32
33
Consensus
-102
-124
-105
-128
-105
-127
-105
-126
-103
-131
-103
-137
-103
-135
-101
-133
-105
-130
-105
-125
-105
-130
-105
-125
-
-114
-114
-
-
-114
-114
-
+100
-115
+100
-130
-105
-130
-120
-130
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2900
+3033
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
12
12
12
Consensus
-105
-123
-102
-123
+100
-125
-110
-120
+100
-122
+100
-122
-125
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
2
2
2
Consensus
-126
-105
-124
-103
-123
+100
-137
-108
-125
-105
-125
-105
-115
-113
-115
-113
-130
+100
-130
+100
-115
-115
-115
-115