Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
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Jonnu Smith Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Jonnu Smith projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams on Nov 11, 2024

Jonnu Smith Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 3.5 over: -113
  • Receptions 3.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect Jonnu Smith to garner 6.0 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Jonnu Smith's 34.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 28.8.

With a fantastic 3.7 adjusted receptions per game (85th percentile) this year, Jonnu Smith rates as one of the leading TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

Projection For Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop Bet

Jonnu Smith is projected to have 4.2 Receptions in this weeks game.


Jonnu Smith Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 35.5 over: -114
  • Receiving Yards 35.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect Jonnu Smith to garner 6.0 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Jonnu Smith has posted a monstrous 29.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile among TEs.

Jonnu Smith's 34.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 28.8.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

Jonnu Smith's 5.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects an impressive diminishment in his efficiency in space over last season's 7.1% figure.

Projection For Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Jonnu Smith is projected to have 44.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Reception
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+195
+200
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+700
-
+850
Consensus
-
+2100
-
+1600
Consensus
-466
+296
-453
+307
Consensus
-
+650
-
+600
Consensus
-
+1300
-
+1200
Consensus
-
+950
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+1500
-
+1600
-
+700
-
+700
-
+1700
-
+1600
-
+350
-
+400
-
+600
-
+600
-
+1100
-
+1300
-
+1000
-
+950
-
+1500
-
+1600
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+3150
+3250
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
31
28
29
30
26
27
32
1
31
29
28
26
30
27
32
1
31
28
29
30
26
27
32
1
31
29
28
26
30
27
32
1
Consensus
-116
-123
-110
-116
-
-120
-
-
-112
-113
-116
-
-111
-110
-
-
-116
-124
-115
-117
-
-120
-
-
-113
-113
-119
-
-113
-110
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-123
-113
-113
-123
-
-123
-
-
-111
-121
-121
-
-111
-111
-
-
-123
-113
-113
-123
-
-123
-
-
-111
-121
-111
-
-111
-111
-
-
-120
-120
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-110
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-115
-
-120
-
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-122
-120
-115
-115
-120
-120
-120
-115
-
-120
-115
+105
-110
-110
-115
-120
-
-110
-120
-120
-115
-120
-115
-110
-
-120
-120
-120
-110
-115
-110
-120
-
-105
-
-
-
-130
-
-
-
-130
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-125
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+4500
+4500
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
3
3
4
4
3
3
4
Consensus
+132
-168
+135
-178
+129
-174
+130
-162
+120
-194
+114
-169
+133
-157
+133
-157
+135
-170
+135
-175
+130
-185
+130
-165
-
-176
+134
-
-
-176
+134
-
+135
-185
+120
-185
+135
-160
+115
-175
+115
-
-
-160
+120
-
-
-160
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
15
17
16
15
17
16
15
17
16
15
17
Consensus
-121
-120
-107
-131
-110
-122
-121
-116
-111
-108
-108
-126
-104
-115
-111
-115
-119
-131
-109
-125
-104
-127
-109
-123
-
-110
-
-
-115
-
-
-113
-
-
-115
-
-125
-120
-105
-110
-105
-125
-105
-115
-110
-105
-110
-120