Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
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Jonnu Smith Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Jonnu Smith projections and prop bets for Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins on Nov 17, 2024

Jonnu Smith Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 33.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 33.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Miami Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.

The model projects Jonnu Smith to earn 4.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among TEs.

Jonnu Smith has notched a colossal 25.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Jonnu Smith's 34.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 28.8.

Jonnu Smith's 76.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a substantial progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 71.6% mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game.

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 126.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Raiders, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

Projection For Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Jonnu Smith is projected to have 35.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Reception
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+195
+200
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+700
-
+850
Consensus
-
+2100
-
+1600
Consensus
-466
+296
-453
+307
Consensus
-
+650
-
+600
Consensus
-
+1300
-
+1200
Consensus
-
+950
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+1500
-
+1600
-
+700
-
+700
-
+1700
-
+1600
-
+350
-
+400
-
+600
-
+600
-
+1100
-
+1300
-
+1000
-
+950
-
+1500
-
+1600
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+3150
+3250
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
31
28
29
30
26
27
32
1
31
29
28
26
30
27
32
1
31
28
29
30
26
27
32
1
31
29
28
26
30
27
32
1
Consensus
-116
-123
-110
-116
-
-120
-
-
-112
-113
-116
-
-111
-110
-
-
-116
-124
-115
-117
-
-120
-
-
-113
-113
-119
-
-113
-110
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-123
-113
-113
-123
-
-123
-
-
-111
-121
-121
-
-111
-111
-
-
-123
-113
-113
-123
-
-123
-
-
-111
-121
-111
-
-111
-111
-
-
-120
-120
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-110
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-115
-
-120
-
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-122
-120
-115
-115
-120
-120
-120
-115
-
-120
-115
+105
-110
-110
-115
-120
-
-110
-120
-120
-115
-120
-115
-110
-
-120
-120
-120
-110
-115
-110
-120
-
-105
-
-
-
-130
-
-
-
-130
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-125
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+4500
+4500
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
3
3
4
4
3
3
4
Consensus
+132
-168
+135
-178
+129
-174
+130
-162
+120
-194
+114
-169
+133
-157
+133
-157
+135
-170
+135
-175
+130
-185
+130
-165
-
-176
+134
-
-
-176
+134
-
+135
-185
+120
-185
+135
-160
+115
-175
+115
-
-
-160
+120
-
-
-160
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
15
17
16
15
17
16
15
17
16
15
17
Consensus
-121
-120
-107
-131
-110
-122
-121
-116
-111
-108
-108
-126
-104
-115
-111
-115
-119
-131
-109
-125
-104
-127
-109
-123
-
-110
-
-
-115
-
-
-113
-
-
-115
-
-125
-120
-105
-110
-105
-125
-105
-115
-110
-105
-110
-120