Jonathan Taylor Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Jonathan Taylor projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts on Nov 10, 2024

Jonathan Taylor Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

• Carries 18.5 over: -105
• Carries 18.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

Right now, the 2nd-most run-oriented team in football (44.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Indianapolis Colts.

The leading projections forecast Jonathan Taylor to notch 19.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

Jonathan Taylor has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (72.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (56.8%).

The Bills defensive tackles rank as the 8th-worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Colts to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Projection For Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop Bet

Jonathan Taylor is projected to have 17.6 Carries in this weeks game.

Jonathan Taylor Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 3.5 over: 130
• Receptions 3.5 under: -165

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

Jonathan Taylor has gone out for more passes this year (57.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (47.1%).

This week, Jonathan Taylor is projected by the model to slot into the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.2 targets.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in football (55.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Colts.

The predictive model expects the Colts to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).

Jonathan Taylor's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 77.7% to 62.4%.

The Bills pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.7%) versus RBs this year (80.7%).

Projection For Jonathan Taylor Receptions Prop Bet

Jonathan Taylor is projected to have 2.3 Receptions in this weeks game.

Jonathan Taylor Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 80.5 over: -115
• Rushing Yards 80.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Right now, the 2nd-most run-oriented team in football (44.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Indianapolis Colts.

The leading projections forecast Jonathan Taylor to notch 19.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

Jonathan Taylor has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (72.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (56.8%).

With a stellar record of 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (93rd percentile), Jonathan Taylor places as one of the leading pure runners in the league this year.

The Bills defensive tackles rank as the 8th-worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Colts to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Projection For Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Jonathan Taylor is projected to have 77.1 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.

Jonathan Taylor Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 19.5 over: -112
• Receiving Yards 19.5 under: -117

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

Jonathan Taylor has gone out for more passes this year (57.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (47.1%).

This week, Jonathan Taylor is projected by the model to slot into the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.2 targets.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in football (55.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Colts.

The predictive model expects the Colts to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).

Jonathan Taylor has accrued a measly -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile among running backs.

Jonathan Taylor's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 77.7% to 62.4%.

Projection For Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Jonathan Taylor is projected to have 17.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.