Jay Sanin on December 19, 2024
Anthony Richardson projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts on Dec 22, 2024
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Colts O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Tennessee Titans cornerbacks project as the 5th-worst unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
A running game script is indicated by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 48.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Titans defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
With a lousy total of 154.0 adjusted passing yards per game (16th percentile), Anthony Richardson stands among the worst quarterbacks in the league this year.
Anthony Richardson is projected to have 188.4 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Colts O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
This year, the porous Titans defense has been torched for a massive 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-largest rate in football.
The Titans defense has yielded the 10th-most touchdowns through the air in football: 1.57 per game this year.
The Tennessee Titans cornerbacks project as the 5th-worst unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
A running game script is indicated by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 48.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the least pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 44.3% red zone pass rate.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Titans defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
Anthony Richardson's passing precision has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 57.3% to 47.1%.
Anthony Richardson is projected to have 1.1 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
