Jay Sanin on December 15, 2024
Calvin Ridley projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans on Dec 15, 2024
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -5-point underdogs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in football.
In this contest, Calvin Ridley is predicted by the model to find himself in the 87th percentile among wide receivers with 8.6 targets.
Calvin Ridley's 69.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 62.3.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been terrible this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.
The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to run only 63.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
The Titans offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Calvin Ridley's 53.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a material reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 58.9% mark.
Calvin Ridley is projected to have 4 Receptions in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -5-point underdogs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in football.
In this contest, Calvin Ridley is predicted by the model to find himself in the 87th percentile among wide receivers with 8.6 targets.
When talking about air yards, Calvin Ridley grades out in the lofty 99th percentile among wideouts this year, accumulating a whopping 111.0 per game.
Calvin Ridley's 69.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 62.3.
The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to run only 63.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
The Titans offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Calvin Ridley has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (54.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).
Calvin Ridley is projected to have 57.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
