James Cook projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills on Oct 20, 2024
James Cook Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -125
- Receiving Yards 14.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects James Cook to notch 2.8 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
James Cook has accrued a colossal 9.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
James Cook's 18.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 88th percentile for running backs.
James Cook grades out as one of the top running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an excellent 24.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.
With a terrific 9.0 adjusted yards per target (93rd percentile) this year, James Cook places as one of the leading running backs in the pass game in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.6% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 51.7 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
Projection For James Cook Receiving Yards Prop Bet
James Cook is projected to have 17.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
James Cook Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: -200
- Receptions 1.5 under: 150
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects James Cook to notch 2.8 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
James Cook's 18.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 88th percentile for running backs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.6% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 51.7 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
Projection For James Cook Receptions Prop Bet
James Cook is projected to have 2 Receptions in this weeks game.
James Cook Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 14.5 over: -117
- Carries 14.5 under: -112
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bills to run on 49.4% of their plays: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast James Cook to notch 14.2 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 51.7 plays per game.
The projections expect James Cook to be a less important option in his team's ground game this week (47.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (59.8% in games he has played).
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's collection of DTs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.
Projection For James Cook Carries Prop Bet
James Cook is projected to have 13.8 Carries in this weeks game.
James Cook Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 59.5 over: -120
- Rushing Yards 59.5 under: -108
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bills to run on 49.4% of their plays: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast James Cook to notch 14.2 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
With an outstanding record of 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (83rd percentile), James Cook places as one of the best pure runners in the league this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 51.7 plays per game.
The projections expect James Cook to be a less important option in his team's ground game this week (47.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (59.8% in games he has played).
This year, the feeble Titans run defense has conceded a massive 3.97 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 28th-largest rate in the league.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's collection of DTs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.
Projection For James Cook Rushing Yards Prop Bet
James Cook is projected to have 62.2 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
