James Conner projections and prop bets for New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals on Nov 10, 2024
James Conner Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: 143
- Receptions 2.5 under: -190
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
James Conner has run a route on 47.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
In this contest, James Conner is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 78th percentile among RBs with 3.3 targets.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Cardinals ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.0% pass rate.
The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.37 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
James Conner's 82.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a meaningful reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 86.0% rate.
The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection For James Conner Receptions Prop Bet
James Conner is projected to have 2.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
James Conner Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 12.5 over: -109
- Receiving Yards 12.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
James Conner has run a route on 47.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
In this contest, James Conner is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 78th percentile among RBs with 3.3 targets.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Cardinals ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
James Conner has accrued a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (13.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.0% pass rate.
The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.37 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
In regards to air yards, James Conner ranks in the lowly 7th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -5.0 per game.
James Conner's 82.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a meaningful reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 86.0% rate.
Projection For James Conner Receiving Yards Prop Bet
James Conner is projected to have 18.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
James Conner Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 80.5 over: -114
- Rushing Yards 80.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 8th-most run-heavy offense in the league (42.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Cardinals.
The model projects James Conner to garner 18.5 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
Out of all RBs, James Conner grades out in the 95th percentile for carries this year, taking on 65.7% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
James Conner has picked up 72.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (87th percentile).
This year, the anemic New York Jets run defense has yielded a staggering 137.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 9th-most in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.37 seconds per play.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
Projection For James Conner Rushing Yards Prop Bet
James Conner is projected to have 74.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
James Conner Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 18.5 over: -115
- Carries 18.5 under: -113
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
At the moment, the 8th-most run-heavy offense in the league (42.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Cardinals.
The model projects James Conner to garner 18.5 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
Out of all RBs, James Conner grades out in the 95th percentile for carries this year, taking on 65.7% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, New York's collection of DEs has been terrible this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.37 seconds per play.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
Projection For James Conner Carries Prop Bet
James Conner is projected to have 16.8 Carries in this weeks game.
