Hunter Henry projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots on Nov 17, 2024
Hunter Henry Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 35.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 35.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects Hunter Henry to accrue 5.3 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Hunter Henry has totaled a massive 46.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile among tight ends.
Hunter Henry's 43.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 33.2.
Hunter Henry's 46.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a significant improvement in his receiving proficiency over last year's 33.0 rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the New England Patriots as the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.16 seconds per play.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Rams, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (just 27.6 per game) this year.
The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.
Projection For Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Hunter Henry is projected to have 34.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
