Tyreek Hill Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Tyreek Hill projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans on Dec 15, 2024

Tyreek Hill Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 69.5 over: -135
• Receiving Yards 69.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 63.3% of their chances: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

This week, Tyreek Hill is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets.

This year, the feeble Texans defense has conceded the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a staggering 4.83 YAC.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.99 seconds per snap.

After accruing 113.0 air yards per game last season, Tyreek Hill has undergone a big decline this season, now averaging 85.0 per game.

Tyreek Hill's 59.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 77.5.

Tyreek Hill's 59.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season conveys a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 109.0 rate.

The Texans pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (58.9%) to wideouts this year (58.9%).

Projection For Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Tyreek Hill is projected to have 72.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.

Tyreek Hill Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 5.5 over: -135
• Receptions 5.5 under: 104

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 63.3% of their chances: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

This week, Tyreek Hill is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.99 seconds per snap.

Tyreek Hill's 59.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 77.5.

Tyreek Hill's 4.9 adjusted catches per game this season signifies an impressive decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 7.4 figure.

Tyreek Hill's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 71.2% to 67.5%.

The Texans pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (58.9%) to wideouts this year (58.9%).

Projection For Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop Bet

Tyreek Hill is projected to have 5 Receptions in this weeks game.