Calvin Ridley projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans on Nov 17, 2024
Calvin Ridley Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 54.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 54.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A passing game script is indicated by the Titans being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.0 per game) this year.
The predictive model expects Calvin Ridley to garner 8.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
After accumulating 111.0 air yards per game last year, Calvin Ridley has undergone big improvement this year, currently sitting at 116.0 per game.
Calvin Ridley's 72.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 62.3.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Titans to be the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.6% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Calvin Ridley's 52.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a remarkable regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 64.0 figure.
Calvin Ridley's 48.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a significant decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 58.9% rate.
The Vikings pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.45 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the league.
Projection For Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Calvin Ridley is projected to have 55.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
