Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 4, 2024

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs
  • Overview
  • Props

Cade Otton Projections & Prop Bets

Cade Otton projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Oct 21, 2024

Cade Otton Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 3.5 over: -160
  • Receptions 3.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

The model projects Cade Otton to earn 5.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Cade Otton's 32.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 26.1.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Cade Otton's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 69.8% to 64.4%.

When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Baltimore's LB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Cade Otton Receptions Prop Bet

Cade Otton is projected to have 3.4 Receptions in this weeks game.


Cade Otton Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 39.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 39.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

The model projects Cade Otton to earn 5.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Cade Otton's 32.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 26.1.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

After totaling 29.0 air yards per game last season, Cade Otton has regressed heavily this season, currently averaging 21.0 per game.

Cade Otton's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 69.8% to 64.4%.

Cade Otton's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 5.88 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.02 figure last year.

When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Baltimore's LB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Cade Otton is projected to have 33.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score A Touchdown and Player's Team to Win
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score A Touchdown and Player's Team to Win
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+850
-
+900
Consensus
-349
+228
-329
+227
Consensus
-
+490
-
+500
Consensus
-
+1100
-
+1100
Consensus
-
+800
-
+700
Consensus
-
+500
-
+490
Consensus
-
+1100
-
+1100
-
+900
-
+900
-
+240
-
+230
-
+500
-
+470
-
+1100
-
+1000
-
+700
-
+750
-
+500
-
+500
-
+1100
-
+1200
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
51
50
56
49
52
48
54
53
46
45
11
53
49
56
51
50
48
52
46
54
45
11
51
50
56
49
52
48
54
53
46
45
11
53
49
56
51
50
48
52
46
54
45
11
Consensus
-120
-117
-
-121
-119
-118
-113
-115
-
-
-
-113
-107
-
-113
-112
-115
-110
-
-113
-
-
-117
-117
-
-119
-120
-113
-113
-115
-
-
-
-113
-108
-
-114
-111
-114
-111
-
-113
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-129
-127
-
-127
-129
-119
-
-129
-
-
-
-106
-108
-
-106
-106
-115
-106
-
-
-
-
-129
-129
-
-127
-129
-127
-
-129
-
-
-
-106
-108
-
-106
-108
-108
-106
-
-
-
-
-125
-120
-
-120
-120
-
-115
-120
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-115
-110
-
-110
-
-115
-
-
-115
-120
-
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-110
-
-110
-110
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-113
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-113
-
-113
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-113
-
-113
-113
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-113
-
-
-113
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-110
-115
-
-125
-120
-140
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-120
-105
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-110
-
-115
-115
-
-120
-115
-115
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-120
-105
-
-120
-120
+105
-115
-115
-
-110
-
-125
-
+100
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-130
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
+100
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-130
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
-105
-120
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+7666
+3500
+16000
+13000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
20
19
18
19
18
20
20
19
18
19
18
20
Consensus
-106
-115
-124
-120
-107
-122
-107
-114
-121
-114
-105
-123
-108
-117
-127
-108
-108
-127
-108
-108
-127
-117
-109
-127
-114
-118
-
-110
-
-122
-106
-114
-
-115
-
-115
-105
-115
-120
-125
-105
-125
-105
-115
-125
-125
-110
-125
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1460
+1525
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+330
+420
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
5
6
5
6
5
6
5
6
Consensus
-157
-
+105
-
-158
-
+127
-
-160
-
+116
-
-163
-
+114
-
-185
-
+145
-
-170
-
+145
-
-168
-
+128
-
-168
-
+128
-
-160
+125
+115
-160
-155
+120
+115
-165
-
+110
-
-130
-
+110
-
-140
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-1400
+875
-1400
+875