Baker Mayfield Projections & Prop Bets

Baker Mayfield projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Oct 21, 2024

Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

• Pass Attempts 35.5 over: -115
• Pass Attempts 35.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Baker Mayfield to attempt 36.2 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most among all quarterbacks.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Projection For Baker Mayfield Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Baker Mayfield is projected to have 34.5 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.

Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 14.5 over: -115
• Rushing Yards 14.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Baker Mayfield has run for a lot more yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (10.0).

Baker Mayfield's ground efficiency has gotten better this year, totaling 7.26 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 4.16 rate last year.

With an excellent record of 3.86 yards-after-contact (97th percentile), Baker Mayfield rates as one of the top rushing QBs in football this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run on 37.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

This year, the tough Ravens run defense has yielded a puny 57.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the fewest in the league.

The Ravens defensive tackles project as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

Projection For Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Baker Mayfield is projected to have 17.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.

Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

• Completions 23.5 over: -135
• Completions 23.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Baker Mayfield to attempt 36.2 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most among all quarterbacks.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Baker Mayfield's 70.2% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a meaningful improvement in his throwing accuracy over last season's 63.6% mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Baltimore's LB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Baker Mayfield Completions Prop Bet

Baker Mayfield is projected to have 21.5 Completions in this weeks game.

Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

• Carries 3.5 over: 110
• Carries 3.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run on 37.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Ravens defensive tackles project as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

Projection For Baker Mayfield Carries Prop Bet

Baker Mayfield is projected to have 3.5 Carries in this weeks game.

Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

• Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -125
• Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% red zone pass rate.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Baker Mayfield's 70.2% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a meaningful improvement in his throwing accuracy over last season's 63.6% mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Baltimore's LB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Baker Mayfield Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Baker Mayfield is projected to have 1.6 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.

Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Interceptions 0.5 over: -146
• Interceptions 0.5 under: 112

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Baker Mayfield to attempt 36.2 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most among all quarterbacks.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Baker Mayfield has tallied 0.93 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 21st percentile when it comes to QBs.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Baltimore's LB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop Bet

Baker Mayfield is projected to have 0.7 Interceptions in this weeks game.

Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Passing Yards 255.5 over: -110
• Passing Yards 255.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Baker Mayfield to attempt 36.2 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most among all quarterbacks.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Baker Mayfield profiles as one of the leading quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging a terrific 252.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Baltimore's LB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop Bet

Baker Mayfield is projected to have 236.3 Passing Yards in this weeks game.