Jay Sanin on January 9, 2025
Courtland Sutton projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills on Jan 12, 2025
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a big -8.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect the Broncos to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have only 129.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (33.9 per game) this year.
The projections expect Courtland Sutton to earn 8.7 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
Courtland Sutton's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 68.4% to 61.9%.
Courtland Sutton is projected to have 5 Receptions in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a big -8.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect the Broncos to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have only 129.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (33.9 per game) this year.
The projections expect Courtland Sutton to earn 8.7 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
Courtland Sutton's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 68.4% to 61.9%.
With a feeble 2.11 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (9th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton has been among the top pass-catching wide receivers in football in space.
Courtland Sutton is projected to have 66.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
