Alvin Kamara Projections & Prop Bets – NFL Week 6

Alvin Kamara MLB projections and prop bets for Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints on Oct 13, 2024

Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 69.5 over: -110
• Rushing Yards 69.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Saints to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.62 seconds per snap.

The model projects Alvin Kamara to accumulate 19.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.

Alvin Kamara has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this year (68.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (53.6%).

This year, the daunting Buccaneers run defense has surrendered a paltry 5.17 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's rushing attack: the 28th-smallest rate in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The Saints may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Spencer Rattler.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

Alvin Kamara grades out as one of the weakest running backs in the league at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a measly 2.32 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 15th percentile.

Projection For Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Alvin Kamara is projected to have 73.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.

Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

• Carries 16.5 over: -110
• Carries 16.5 under: -117

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Saints to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.62 seconds per snap.

The model projects Alvin Kamara to accumulate 19.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.

Alvin Kamara has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this year (68.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (53.6%).

When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

The Saints may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Spencer Rattler.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

Projection For Alvin Kamara Carries Prop Bet

Alvin Kamara is projected to have 17.7 Carries in this weeks game.

Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 4.5 over: -122
• Receptions 4.5 under: -107

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Saints may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Spencer Rattler.

The model projects the Saints to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.62 seconds per snap.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (43.0 per game) this year.

Alvin Kamara's 66.9% Route Participation% this year signifies an impressive progression in his pass game utilization over last year's 53.6% figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The Saints O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Alvin Kamara's 4.6 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 5.7 mark.

Alvin Kamara's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 86.4% to 82.2%.

Projection For Alvin Kamara Receptions Prop Bet

Alvin Kamara is projected to have 4.5 Receptions in this weeks game.

Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 32.5 over: -110
• Receiving Yards 32.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Saints may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Spencer Rattler.

The model projects the Saints to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.62 seconds per snap.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (43.0 per game) this year.

Alvin Kamara's 66.9% Route Participation% this year signifies an impressive progression in his pass game utilization over last year's 53.6% figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The Saints O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Alvin Kamara's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 86.4% to 82.2%.

Projection For Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Alvin Kamara is projected to have 31.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.