New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction & Preview – 10/7/2024

Saints vs Chiefs Betting Odds

New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

Derek Carr and the New Orleans Saints faceoff against Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs enter the game as a big favorite (-220) as the home team. Kansas City is currently favored by -5.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 42.0.

New Orleans's biggest weakness has been their pass defense, ranking #25 in the league while allowing 235 yards per game through the air. That's not to give any unnecessary credit to their run defense, though, which checks in at #10-worst in yards per carry (4.56). The Saints have been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing tight ends, allowing them to rack up 46 yards per game (#10-worst). New Orleans's pass rush has been weak this year, being weighed down by their linebackers, which check in as just the #28-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Saints have ranked #13 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 188 yards per game (#21 in football). On the ground they've ranked #12 with 4.46 yards per carry.

Kansas City's primary advantage has been their run defense, which has allowed a scant 3.72 yards per attempt on the ground -- #4-best in the NFL. When it comes to their offense, the Chiefs check in at #12 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 223 yards per game (#12 in football). Their run game has ranked #18 with 4.16 yards per attempt on the ground.

New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

Final Score: New Orleans Saints 19.32 vs Kansas City Chiefs 25.3

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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