Denver Broncos at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Best Bet – 9/22/2024

Broncos vs Buccaneers Betting Odds

Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos faceoff against Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Buccaneers enter the game as a huge favorite (-280) as the home team. Tampa Bay is currently favored by -6.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 40.0.

Tampa Bay's primary disadvantage this season has been their rushing offense, which has ranked #32 in football with a low 3.29 yards per carry. This presents a decided disadvantage for Tampa Bay given that the Broncos run defense has thrived this year, allowing a mere 5.06 yards per carry (good for #32-best in the NFL). When it comes to their defense, the Buccaneers check in at #25 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 252 yards per game against Tampa Bay this year (#1 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #26 against them with 4.17 yards per ground attempt. This Buccaneers defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, allowing them to complete just 70.1% of their passes (#6-lowest in the league). Tampa Bay's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have scorched them for 168 yards per game (#2-worst in the league).

Denver's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #29 in the league while allowing 371 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to shut down the run game, as they've allowed opposing ball-carriers to rush for the #1-most yards per carry: 5.06. That's not to give any unnecessary credit to their pass defense, though, which checks in at #3-worst in yards per target (8.16). The Broncos defensive ends have played a big part in their inability to stop the run, ranking #1-worst in the NFL by this measure. In terms of their offense, the Broncos have ranked #26 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 209 yards per game (#23 in football). On the ground they've ranked #22 with 3.9 yards per carry.

Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

Final Score: Denver Broncos 17.81 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24.51

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