Utah Jazz

Utah Jazz

Oct 28, 2024

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds & Picks – 10/28/2024

  • Date: October 28, 2024
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Utah Jazz 10.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks -10.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 233
Moneyline: Utah Jazz 430, Dallas Mavericks -550

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Utah Jazz - 18% Utah Jazz - 19%
Dallas Mavericks - 82% Dallas Mavericks - 81%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

As the Utah Jazz face off against the Dallas Mavericks on Monday night, the odds are heavily tilted in favor of the Mavericks, who are playing at their home base, the American Airlines Center. Currently sitting at a 1-1 record, Dallas is looking to bounce back from a recent loss to the Phoenix Suns, 114-102. The Jazz, meanwhile, are still seeking their first win after opening the season 0-2, their most recent defeat a lopsided 127-86 loss to the Golden State Warriors.

Dallas enters as massive favorites according to the betting odds. The Mavericks are laying 10.5 points on the spread, and their moneyline sits at -560, suggesting an 82% implied probability of victory. In contrast, Utah’s moneyline at +440 gives them just an 18% chance to secure a win.

Despite these long odds, the Jazz have had three days of rest since their last game, potentially giving them a recuperative advantage against a Mavericks squad that played just two days ago. This extended downtime could help Utah keep the game competitive, or even pull off an upset.

One player to watch closely is Kyrie Irving of the Mavericks. Bettors are showing interest in his Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) prop, which has been a hot market leading up to the game. Originally set at Over 29.5 PRA, the line has moved to 30.5, with odds of -115. This indicates sharp money is backing Irving to deliver a strong all-around performance.

The game tips off at 8:30 PM ET and promises an intriguing matchup, especially for those with a stake in the betting markets. While the Mavericks are the expected victors, the Jazz’s extra rest and Irving’s performance could make this a closer game than the odds suggest.

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Final Score: Utah Jazz 109.32 vs Dallas Mavericks 120.2

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+11.5/-108
41% UTA
-11.5/-112
59% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+477
4% UTA
-654
96% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

231.5/-110
44% UN
231.5/-110
56% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

UTA
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
39
Games
41
39.6
FG
41.2
86.6
FGA
90.4
.457
FG%
.456
14.0
3Pt-FG
12.8
38.6
3Pt-FGA
35.9
.362
3Pt%
.355
25.6
2Pt-FG
28.4
48.0
2Pt-FGA
54.5
.534
2Pt%
.522
17.7
FT
17.0
22.5
FTA
22.0
.790
FT%
.772
12.0
ORB
12.0
33.1
DRB
32.7
45.1
TRB
44.7
24.9
AST
26.2
6.9
STL
8.5
4.9
BLK
4.5
17.8
TOV
14.1
18.8
PF
19.1
110.9
PTS
112.2

Defense/Offense

UTA
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
39
Games
41
43.5
FG
42.2
91.2
FGA
88.4
.477
FG%
.477
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.2
40.0
3Pt-FGA
35.4
.355
3Pt%
.372
29.3
2Pt-FG
29.0
51.2
2Pt-FGA
53.0
.572
2Pt%
.548
16.5
FT
18.1
21.7
FTA
23.5
.759
FT%
.771
11.2
ORB
11.0
31.0
DRB
33.6
42.2
TRB
44.6
28.4
AST
25.2
9.9
STL
8.2
6.4
BLK
5.8
11.9
TOV
14.3
19.7
PF
19.0
117.6
PTS
115.6

Offense/Defense

UTA
Four Factors
DAL
.538
eFG%
.526
15.6
TOV%
12.3
27.9
RB%
73.8
.205
FT/FGA
.188

Defense/Offense

UTA
Four Factors
DAL
.555
eFG%
.552
10.6
TOV%
12.6
74.7
RB%
25.1
.181
FT/FGA
.205

Offense/Defense

UTA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
39
Games
41
39.9
FG
41.4
87.4
FGA
90.8
.457
FG%
.456
14.1
3Pt-FG
12.8
39.0
3Pt-FGA
36.1
.362
3Pt%
.355
25.9
2Pt-FG
28.6
48.4
2Pt-FGA
54.7
.534
2Pt%
.522
17.9
FT
17.1
22.7
FTA
22.1
.790
FT%
.772
12.1
ORB
12.0
33.4
DRB
32.8
45.5
TRB
44.8
25.1
AST
26.4
7.0
STL
8.5
5.0
BLK
4.5
18.0
TOV
14.2
19.0
PF
19.2
111.9
PTS
112.6

Defense/Offense

UTA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
39
Games
41
43.9
FG
42.3
91.9
FGA
88.8
.477
FG%
.477
14.3
3Pt-FG
13.2
40.3
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.355
3Pt%
.372
29.6
2Pt-FG
29.1
51.6
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.572
2Pt%
.548
16.6
FT
18.2
21.9
FTA
23.6
.759
FT%
.771
11.3
ORB
11.0
31.2
DRB
33.8
42.5
TRB
44.8
28.6
AST
25.4
10.0
STL
8.3
6.4
BLK
5.8
12.0
TOV
14.4
19.8
PF
19.1
118.6
PTS
116.1

UTA
Analytics
DAL
12
Pythag Wins
25
27
Pythag Losses
16
-6.67
Margin Of Victory
3.46
111.9
O Rtg
116.1
118.6
D Rtg
112.6
98.9
Pace
99.3
.259
FTr
.266
.446
3PAr
.401
.575
TS%
.586

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
UTA DAL
UTA DAL
Consensus
+10.5 (-108)
-10.5 (-110)
+11.5 (-108)
-11.5 (-112)
+10.5 (-108)
-10.5 (-110)
+11.5 (-108)
-11.5 (-112)
+11.0 (-112)
-11.0 (-110)
+12.0 (-112)
-12.0 (-108)
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-112)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
+10.0 (-105)
-10.0 (-110)
+12.0 (-105)
-12.0 (-115)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-105)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
UTA DAL
UTA DAL
Consensus
+430
-625
+477
-654
+425
-575
+500
-700
+410
-550
+530
-750
+450
-625
+420
-560
+430
-600
+550
-800
+425
-600
+500
-700
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
220.5 (-115)
220.5 (-105)
231.5 (-112)
231.5 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
231.5 (-112)
231.5 (-109)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
232.0 (-115)
232.0 (-105)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
232.5 (-105)
232.5 (-115)