Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

May 4, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Game 1 Pick 5/4/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 4, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves 4.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 207.5
Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves 160, Denver Nuggets -185

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Minnesota Timberwolves - 37% Minnesota Timberwolves - 50%
Denver Nuggets - 63% Denver Nuggets - 50%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated Saturday night matchup, the Minnesota Timberwolves (60-26) will take on the Denver Nuggets (61-26) at Ball Arena to open up their second-round playoff series in the Western Conference. These two divisional foes are set to clash, adding an extra level of significance to this game as both teams seek to assert their dominance.

The Timberwolves enter the game with plenty of rest, having had four days off since their last game. This additional time to rest and recover could potentially work in their favor and increase their chances of securing a victory. On the other hand, the Nuggets had five days off prior to this game, giving their players ample time to recharge and prepare.

As the home team, the Nuggets are considered the favorites in this matchup. The current spread stands at Nuggets -4.5, reflecting the expectations of a closely contested game. The moneyline odds also favor the Nuggets at -190, indicating a higher probability of them emerging victorious. However, the Timberwolves should not be underestimated, with a moneyline of +165 and an implied win probability of 37%.

Both teams enter the game in good form. The Timberwolves have won their last four consecutive games, riding a wave of momentum. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have been consistent, winning 36 of their last 50 games, showcasing their ability to perform at a high level.

For those interested in player prop betting, keep an eye on Jamal Murray's points. It has emerged as the most popular betting market for this game, drawing attention from sharp bettors. The prop total for Murray's points initially opened at Under 24.5 (-115) but has since shifted to 23.5 (-115), indicating a belief that he may score fewer points than initially anticipated.

With all the factors at play, this Saturday night showdown promises to be an exciting battle between two divisional rivals. Will the rest advantage propel the Timberwolves to victory, or will the Nuggets defend their home court and secure the win? Only time will tell.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 105.7 vs Denver Nuggets 105.79

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-115
73% MIN
-4.5/-105
27% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+153
57% MIN
-187
43% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

209.5/-110
26% UN
209.5/-110
74% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
DEN
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
DEN
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

MIN
Analytics
DEN
Pythag Wins
Pythag Losses
Margin Of Victory
O Rtg
D Rtg
Pace
FTr
3PAr
TS%

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN DEN
MIN DEN
Consensus
+4.0 (-114)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-107)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.0 (-114)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-107)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIN DEN
MIN DEN
Consensus
+152
-183
+153
-187
+154
-185
+154
-185
+158
-188
+154
-184
+148
-177
+155
-190
+158
-190
+158
-190
+160
-190
+150
-180
+150
-185
+150
-185
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
207.5 (-111)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-111)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
208.0 (-110)
208.0 (-110)
209.5 (-112)
209.5 (-108)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-109)
209.5 (-112)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)