Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 28, 2024

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 28, 2024
  • Venue: Footprint Center
  • Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5 (-110), Phoenix Suns 1.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 212
  • Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves -120, Phoenix Suns 100

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Minnesota Timberwolves - 52%
  • Phoenix Suns - 48%

Projected Win %:

  • Minnesota Timberwolves - 59%
  • Phoenix Suns - 41%

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves (59-26) are set to face off against the Phoenix Suns (49-36) in an NBA Sunday Night game, in Game 4 of their first round playoff series in the Western Conference. The highly anticipated matchup will take place at the Footprint Center, the home arena of the Suns. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 PM ET.

Despite being on the road, the Timberwolves come into the game as slight favorites. The current spread favors them by 1.5 points. In terms of the moneyline, the Timberwolves hold a slight advantage with odds of -120, while the Suns have odds of +100.

Based on the odds, the Timberwolves have an implied win probability of 52%, while the Suns have a 48% chance of winning. This suggests that the game is expected to be closely contested.

The Timberwolves have been playing excellent basketball recently, winning 34 of their last 50 games. On the other hand, the Suns have been struggling, having lost their previous three games. This sets up an intriguing clash between two teams trending in different directions.

In their most recent meeting, the Timberwolves secured a convincing victory over the Suns, defeating them 126-109. This result was considered an upset, as the Timberwolves entered the game as 6.0 underdogs with a mere 31% chance of winning.

One player to watch in this game is Karl-Anthony Towns of the Timberwolves. His Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) have become a popular betting market for this matchup. Bettors have been particularly interested in the under, with many believing that the current line of 27.5 PRA for Towns is mispriced and offers value.

As the game approaches, sharp bettors are keeping a close eye on the PRA market and the potential opportunity to capitalize on the under. The current price for the under 27.5 PRA for Towns stands at -105.

With the Timberwolves aiming to continue their strong form and the Suns looking to break their losing streak, this Sunday Night game promises to be an exciting battle between two competitive teams. Basketball fans and bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating the outcome of this matchup.

Pick and Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves 109.13 - Phoenix Suns 105.78

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.0/-110
21% MIN
-1.0/-110
79% PHO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-105
68% MIN
-116
32% PHO

Total Pick Consensus

213.0/-110
13% UN
213.0/-110
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
79
Games
82
41.4
FG
42.0
85.4
FGA
90.6
.485
FG%
.464
12.7
3Pt-FG
13.1
32.8
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.388
3Pt%
.364
28.6
2Pt-FG
28.9
52.6
2Pt-FGA
54.6
.545
2Pt%
.529
17.7
FT
16.1
22.8
FTA
20.8
.778
FT%
.774
9.4
ORB
11.0
31.1
DRB
30.4
40.5
TRB
41.3
26.7
AST
26.3
7.9
STL
8.4
6.0
BLK
4.5
13.2
TOV
12.7
18.7
PF
19.7
113.2
PTS
113.2

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
79
Games
82
38.8
FG
42.5
86.8
FGA
86.1
.447
FG%
.493
11.4
3Pt-FG
12.4
32.4
3Pt-FGA
32.6
.352
3Pt%
.382
27.4
2Pt-FG
30.0
54.4
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.504
2Pt%
.561
17.2
FT
18.9
21.9
FTA
23.4
.785
FT%
.808
10.3
ORB
10.1
28.0
DRB
33.9
38.2
TRB
44.1
24.4
AST
27.0
7.5
STL
7.4
4.5
BLK
6.0
13.1
TOV
14.9
19.7
PF
18.0
106.2
PTS
116.2

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
PHO
.559
eFG%
.536
12.1
TOV%
11.3
25.1
RB%
75.6
.208
FT/FGA
.178

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
PHO
.513
eFG%
.565
11.9
TOV%
13.4
75.2
RB%
25.0
.198
FT/FGA
.219

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
79
Games
82
43.2
FG
42.5
89.1
FGA
91.7
.485
FG%
.464
13.3
3Pt-FG
13.3
34.2
3Pt-FGA
36.4
.388
3Pt%
.364
29.9
2Pt-FG
29.3
54.9
2Pt-FGA
55.3
.545
2Pt%
.529
18.5
FT
16.3
23.8
FTA
21.0
.778
FT%
.774
9.8
ORB
11.1
32.5
DRB
30.7
42.3
TRB
41.8
27.9
AST
26.6
8.2
STL
8.5
6.3
BLK
4.6
13.7
TOV
12.9
19.6
PF
19.9
118.1
PTS
114.6

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
79
Games
82
40.5
FG
43.0
90.5
FGA
87.2
.447
FG%
.493
11.9
3Pt-FG
12.6
33.8
3Pt-FGA
33.0
.352
3Pt%
.382
28.6
2Pt-FG
30.4
56.7
2Pt-FGA
54.2
.504
2Pt%
.561
17.9
FT
19.1
22.8
FTA
23.6
.785
FT%
.808
10.7
ORB
10.3
29.2
DRB
34.3
39.9
TRB
44.6
25.4
AST
27.4
7.8
STL
7.5
4.7
BLK
6.1
13.6
TOV
15.1
20.6
PF
18.2
110.8
PTS
117.6

MIN
Analytics
PHO
56
Pythag Wins
49
23
Pythag Losses
33
7.01
Margin Of Victory
3.06
118.1
O Rtg
117.6
110.8
D Rtg
114.6
95.2
Pace
98.3
.267
FTr
.271
.384
3PAr
.378
.593
TS%
.603

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN PHO
MIN PHO
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-111)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-108)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-109)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-109)
-1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-115)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-115)
-1.0 (-105)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIN PHO
MIN PHO
-116
-105
-105
-116
-118
-102
-105
-115
-112
-104
-104
-112
-115
-104
-103
-117
-115
-105
-110
-110
-110
-110
-105
-115
-115
-105
-105
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
212.0 (-112)
212.0 (-110)
213.0 (-109)
213.0 (-113)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.0 (-112)
212.0 (-109)
213.0 (-108)
213.0 (-113)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
214.0 (-115)
214.0 (-105)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
208.5 (-115)
208.5 (-105)
213.5 (-105)
213.5 (-115)