Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-120) at bet365.
Pros
- Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 100th percentile, putting up a colossal 33.9 points per game this year.
- Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 three-pointers per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.2 rate last season.
- Luka Doncic has played 37.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 99th percentile — ranking among the most used players in the league.
- When it comes to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks’s remarkable 122.4 points per game when playing on the road places highest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
- The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Cons
- The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Sacramento Kings are playing at home, the other team’s starting PGs have compiled the 9th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (30.6%).
- Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA on the road with a mere 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
- In comparison to last season’s 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic’s number of foul shots has tailed off this season to 8.9 foul shots per game.
- Luka Doncic will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.
Prop Projection: Luka Doncic is projected for 31.1 Points
