Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

Mar 21, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Pick – 3/21/2025


On March 21, 2025, the Houston Rockets (45-25) will face off against the Miami Heat (29-40) in a highly anticipated matchup at Kaseya Center, scheduled to tip off at 8:00 PM ET. The Rockets enter the game as a favorite, boasting an impressive eight-game winning streak, while the Heat are struggling, having dropped nine consecutive contests.

Current betting lines reflect Houston's strength, with a spread of Rockets -5.5. The Rockets' moneyline stands at -205, implying a 65% probability of victory, while the Heat’s moneyline is +180, giving them a 35% chance to win. This stark contrast in form and momentum gives bettors plenty to consider heading into game day.

Recent performances highlight the contrasting trajectories of both teams. In their latest outing, the Rockets defeated the Orlando Magic 116-108, demonstrating offensive depth and resilience. Conversely, the Heat narrowly lost to the Detroit Pistons, falling 116-113, and will be looking to reverse their fortunes in front of their home crowd.

For those interested in player prop betting, Jalen Green's Points and Rebounds have emerged as the most popular market for this matchup. Many sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under, particularly at the current price of Under 26.5 Points and Rebounds (-115), suggesting they believe this line may be mispriced.

With the Rockets riding high and the Heat fighting to snap their losing streak, this game promises to provide excitement as both teams look to assert their presence in the playoff race.


Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Houston Rockets 111.49 vs Miami Heat 106.02


Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Rockets65%66%
Heat35%34%

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.0/-112
64% HOU
+5.0/-108
36% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-192
74% HOU
+160
26% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

213.0/-112
5% UN
213.0/-108
95% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
70
Games
69
42.1
FG
41.5
93.4
FGA
89.0
.451
FG%
.466
12.4
3Pt-FG
13.7
35.8
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.347
3Pt%
.359
29.7
2Pt-FG
27.8
57.6
2Pt-FGA
50.8
.516
2Pt%
.547
17.1
FT
14.1
23.0
FTA
17.9
.743
FT%
.787
14.8
ORB
10.8
33.9
DRB
34.3
48.7
TRB
45.1
23.0
AST
26.8
8.4
STL
7.5
5.0
BLK
4.8
14.0
TOV
13.5
19.4
PF
17.3
113.7
PTS
110.8

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
70
Games
69
40.2
FG
39.6
88.4
FGA
86.6
.454
FG%
.458
12.2
3Pt-FG
13.6
34.5
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.352
3Pt%
.358
28.0
2Pt-FG
26.0
53.9
2Pt-FGA
48.6
.520
2Pt%
.535
16.7
FT
16.3
22.0
FTA
20.6
.756
FT%
.791
10.8
ORB
9.5
31.7
DRB
33.7
42.4
TRB
43.2
22.8
AST
26.2
7.9
STL
7.9
6.0
BLK
3.8
14.4
TOV
13.8
19.6
PF
15.7
109.1
PTS
109.1

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
MIA
.517
eFG%
.543
11.9
TOV%
12.2
31.8
RB%
75.7
.183
FT/FGA
.159

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
MIA
.523
eFG%
.536
12.8
TOV%
12.6
75.9
RB%
21.7
.188
FT/FGA
.188

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
70
Games
69
42.5
FG
42.5
94.2
FGA
91.3
.451
FG%
.466
12.5
3Pt-FG
14.1
36.1
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.347
3Pt%
.359
29.9
2Pt-FG
28.5
58.1
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.516
2Pt%
.547
17.2
FT
14.5
23.2
FTA
18.4
.743
FT%
.787
14.9
ORB
11.1
34.2
DRB
35.2
49.1
TRB
46.2
23.2
AST
27.5
8.5
STL
7.7
5.1
BLK
4.9
14.1
TOV
13.9
19.6
PF
17.7
114.7
PTS
113.7

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
70
Games
69
40.5
FG
40.6
89.2
FGA
88.8
.454
FG%
.458
12.3
3Pt-FG
13.9
34.8
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.352
3Pt%
.358
28.2
2Pt-FG
26.7
54.4
2Pt-FGA
49.9
.520
2Pt%
.535
16.8
FT
16.7
22.2
FTA
21.1
.756
FT%
.791
10.8
ORB
9.7
31.9
DRB
34.5
42.8
TRB
44.3
23.0
AST
26.8
8.0
STL
8.1
6.0
BLK
3.9
14.5
TOV
14.1
19.7
PF
16.1
110.1
PTS
111.9

HOU
Analytics
MIA
45
Pythag Wins
31
25
Pythag Losses
38
4.59
Margin Of Victory
-1.70
114.7
O Rtg
111.9
110.1
D Rtg
113.7
98.6
Pace
96.2
.246
FTr
.238
.384
3PAr
.438
.549
TS%
.570

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU MIA
HOU MIA
Consensus
-5.0 (-109)
+5.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-109)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-108)
-5.0 (-112)
+5.0 (-108)
-5.0 (-108)
+5.0 (-112)
-5.0 (-108)
+5.0 (-112)
-5.0 (-107)
+5.0 (-109)
-4.5 (-107)
+4.5 (-114)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
HOU MIA
HOU MIA
Consensus
-200
+165
-182
+154
-198
+164
-192
+160
-194
+162
-198
+166
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-108)
213.5 (-112)
214.5 (-108)
214.5 (-112)
213.0 (-108)
213.0 (-112)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-106)
213.5 (-114)
213.5 (-108)
213.5 (-113)
214.0 (-108)
214.0 (-113)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-105)
213.5 (-115)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)

Related Articles