Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

Mar 21, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Pick – 3/21/2025


On March 21, 2025, the Houston Rockets (45-25) will face off against the Miami Heat (29-40) in a highly anticipated matchup at Kaseya Center, scheduled to tip off at 8:00 PM ET. The Rockets enter the game as a favorite, boasting an impressive eight-game winning streak, while the Heat are struggling, having dropped nine consecutive contests.

Current betting lines reflect Houston's strength, with a spread of Rockets -5.5. The Rockets' moneyline stands at -205, implying a 65% probability of victory, while the Heat’s moneyline is +180, giving them a 35% chance to win. This stark contrast in form and momentum gives bettors plenty to consider heading into game day.

Recent performances highlight the contrasting trajectories of both teams. In their latest outing, the Rockets defeated the Orlando Magic 116-108, demonstrating offensive depth and resilience. Conversely, the Heat narrowly lost to the Detroit Pistons, falling 116-113, and will be looking to reverse their fortunes in front of their home crowd.

For those interested in player prop betting, Jalen Green's Points and Rebounds have emerged as the most popular market for this matchup. Many sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under, particularly at the current price of Under 26.5 Points and Rebounds (-115), suggesting they believe this line may be mispriced.

With the Rockets riding high and the Heat fighting to snap their losing streak, this game promises to provide excitement as both teams look to assert their presence in the playoff race.


Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Houston Rockets 111.49 vs Miami Heat 106.02


Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Rockets65%66%
Heat35%34%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-4.5/-108
60% HOU
+4.5/-112
40% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-184
76% HOU
+155
24% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

212.5/-110
11% UN
212.5/-110
89% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
42.5
FG
41.3
93.4
FGA
88.6
.455
FG%
.466
12.7
3Pt-FG
13.6
35.8
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.353
3Pt%
.360
29.8
2Pt-FG
27.6
57.6
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.518
2Pt%
.545
16.7
FT
13.9
22.6
FTA
17.9
.738
FT%
.776
14.6
ORB
10.7
33.8
DRB
33.9
48.5
TRB
44.7
23.3
AST
26.5
8.4
STL
7.5
5.0
BLK
4.7
13.9
TOV
13.8
19.0
PF
17.0
114.3
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
40.5
88.3
FGA
87.0
.459
FG%
.465
12.3
3Pt-FG
13.7
34.5
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.357
3Pt%
.367
28.2
2Pt-FG
26.8
53.8
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.524
2Pt%
.538
16.4
FT
16.0
21.7
FTA
20.2
.759
FT%
.791
10.6
ORB
9.7
31.6
DRB
33.7
42.1
TRB
43.4
23.5
AST
26.4
7.9
STL
8.1
5.7
BLK
3.8
14.3
TOV
13.6
19.2
PF
15.5
109.8
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
MIA
.523
eFG%
.543
11.8
TOV%
12.5
31.7
RB%
75.8
.178
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
MIA
.528
eFG%
.544
12.8
TOV%
12.4
76.2
RB%
22.3
.186
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
42.9
FG
42.3
94.2
FGA
90.9
.455
FG%
.466
12.8
3Pt-FG
14.0
36.2
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.353
3Pt%
.360
30.1
2Pt-FG
28.3
58.1
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.518
2Pt%
.545
16.8
FT
14.3
22.8
FTA
18.4
.738
FT%
.776
14.8
ORB
11.0
34.1
DRB
34.8
48.9
TRB
45.8
23.6
AST
27.2
8.5
STL
7.7
5.1
BLK
4.8
14.0
TOV
14.2
19.2
PF
17.4
115.3
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
40.9
FG
41.5
89.1
FGA
89.3
.459
FG%
.465
12.4
3Pt-FG
14.1
34.9
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.357
3Pt%
.367
28.4
2Pt-FG
27.5
54.3
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.524
2Pt%
.538
16.6
FT
16.4
21.9
FTA
20.7
.759
FT%
.791
10.7
ORB
10.0
31.9
DRB
34.5
42.5
TRB
44.5
23.7
AST
27.1
8.0
STL
8.4
5.7
BLK
3.9
14.5
TOV
13.9
19.4
PF
16.0
110.8
PTS
113.5

HOU
Analytics
MIA
52
Pythag Wins
42
30
Pythag Losses
40
4.51
Margin Of Victory
0.56
115.3
O Rtg
113.5
110.8
D Rtg
112.9
98.6
Pace
96.2
.242
FTr
.232
.384
3PAr
.429
.553
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU MIA
HOU MIA
Consensus
-5.0 (-109)
+5.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-109)
+4.5 (-109)
-4.0 (-108)
+4.0 (-108)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-112)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-112)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.0 (-107)
+5.0 (-109)
-5.0 (-107)
+5.0 (-114)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
HOU MIA
HOU MIA
Consensus
-200
+165
-184
+155
-198
+164
-180
+150
-194
+162
-186
+156
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
212.5 (-111)
212.5 (-109)
214.5 (-108)
214.5 (-112)
212.0 (-110)
212.0 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
213.5 (-108)
213.5 (-113)
212.5 (-113)
212.5 (-108)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
212.5 (-105)
212.5 (-115)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)

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