Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

May 7, 2024

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 7, 2024
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Dallas Mavericks 3.5 (-110), Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 218
Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks 140, Oklahoma City Thunder -160

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 40% Dallas Mavericks - 36%
Oklahoma City Thunder - 60% Oklahoma City Thunder - 64%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks (54-34) are set to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (61-25) in an exciting Tuesday night matchup to start off their Western Conference second round playoff series. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 9:30 PM ET at the Paycom Center, the Thunder's home arena.

The Thunder, coming off a six-day break since their last game, will have the advantage of extra rest. This could play a crucial role in their performance and boost their chances of securing a victory. As a result, they are considered slight favorites at home.

According to the current spread, the Thunder are favored by 3.5 points. The moneyline stands at -160 for the Thunder and +140 for the Mavericks. Based on the odds, the Mavericks have an implied win probability of 40%, while the Thunder have a 60% chance of winning, according to the sportsbooks.

The Thunder enter the game on a hot streak, having won their last nine consecutive games. This winning momentum could give them a psychological edge heading into the matchup. On the other hand, the Mavericks have been playing solid basketball, winning 28 of their last 40 games.

For those interested in player props, keep an eye on Daniel Gafford's Points, Rebounds, and Assists. This market has been generating significant betting interest, indicating that Gafford's performance could have a significant impact on the outcome of the game.

Sharp bettors are leaning towards the Over for this matchup, believing that the line is mispriced and offers value. The current price for Gafford's Points, Rebounds, and Assists is set at Over 16.5 (-115).

As the Dallas Mavericks and the Oklahoma City Thunder prepare to battle it out on Tuesday night, NBA fans and sports bettors alike are eagerly anticipating an exciting matchup. Will the Thunder's rest advantage and winning streak propel them to victory, or will the Mavericks continue their strong form and secure a win on the road? Only time will tell as these two teams take the court in a battle for supremacy.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 111.43 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 116.32

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-110
50% DAL
-4.5/-110
50% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+153
20% DAL
-183
80% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

218.5/-110
9% UN
218.5/-110
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
79
Games
79
43.3
FG
40.8
89.7
FGA
89.2
.483
FG%
.457
14.8
3Pt-FG
13.6
39.6
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.373
3Pt%
.365
28.6
2Pt-FG
27.2
50.1
2Pt-FGA
51.9
.571
2Pt%
.524
17.3
FT
18.2
22.8
FTA
23.1
.758
FT%
.788
9.7
ORB
11.9
30.2
DRB
29.4
39.9
TRB
41.4
25.8
AST
27.1
6.9
STL
7.1
4.9
BLK
5.2
11.5
TOV
14.6
18.5
PF
19.0
118.7
PTS
113.4

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
79
Games
79
42.9
FG
44.4
90.4
FGA
89.1
.475
FG%
.498
13.2
3Pt-FG
13.3
35.8
3Pt-FGA
34.1
.368
3Pt%
.388
29.7
2Pt-FG
31.1
54.6
2Pt-FGA
55.0
.545
2Pt%
.566
16.8
FT
17.8
21.9
FTA
21.5
.768
FT%
.824
11.0
ORB
8.8
31.2
DRB
29.9
42.1
TRB
38.7
27.5
AST
26.9
7.4
STL
8.4
4.0
BLK
6.6
12.8
TOV
11.6
20.6
PF
19.0
115.8
PTS
119.7

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
OKC
.566
eFG%
.534
10.3
TOV%
12.8
23.8
RB%
71.4
.193
FT/FGA
.204

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
OKC
.547
eFG%
.572
11.4
TOV%
10.6
73.3
RB%
23.0
.186
FT/FGA
.199

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
79
Games
79
44.0
FG
41.5
91.1
FGA
90.7
.483
FG%
.457
15.0
3Pt-FG
13.8
40.2
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.373
3Pt%
.365
29.0
2Pt-FG
27.7
50.8
2Pt-FGA
52.8
.571
2Pt%
.524
17.5
FT
18.5
23.1
FTA
23.5
.758
FT%
.788
9.9
ORB
12.2
30.7
DRB
29.9
40.5
TRB
42.1
26.2
AST
27.5
7.0
STL
7.2
5.0
BLK
5.3
11.7
TOV
14.9
18.8
PF
19.4
120.6
PTS
115.4

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
79
Games
79
43.6
FG
45.1
91.8
FGA
90.6
.475
FG%
.498
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.5
36.3
3Pt-FGA
34.7
.368
3Pt%
.388
30.2
2Pt-FG
31.7
55.5
2Pt-FGA
55.9
.545
2Pt%
.566
17.1
FT
18.1
22.3
FTA
21.9
.768
FT%
.824
11.1
ORB
9.0
31.6
DRB
30.4
42.8
TRB
39.4
28.0
AST
27.3
7.5
STL
8.5
4.1
BLK
6.7
13.0
TOV
11.8
20.9
PF
19.3
117.6
PTS
121.9

DAL
Analytics
OKC
46
Pythag Wins
54
33
Pythag Losses
25
2.90
Margin Of Victory
6.37
120.6
O Rtg
121.9
117.6
D Rtg
115.4
98.3
Pace
97.6
.254
FTr
.242
.442
3PAr
.383
.595
TS%
.608

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL OKC
DAL OKC
+2.5 (-111)
-2.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-111)
-4.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL OKC
DAL OKC
+122
-146
+153
-183
+120
-142
+154
-185
+130
-154
+152
-180
+117
-139
+150
-180
+130
-155
+143
-170
+130
-160
+160
-190
+135
-160
+160
-190
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
218.5 (-113)
218.5 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
219.0 (-112)
219.0 (-108)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-109)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.5 (-120)
218.5 (-110)