Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Game 4 Prediction, Picks 4/29/2024

Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

Apr 29, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 29, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center
  • Spread: Boston Celtics -10.5 (-110), Miami Heat 10.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 203.5
  • Moneyline: Boston Celtics -510, Miami Heat 400

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 81%
  • Miami Heat - 19%

Projected Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 73%
  • Miami Heat - 27%

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated Monday Night matchup, the Boston Celtics (66-19) will take on the Miami Heat (48-39) in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference playoff series at the Kaseya Center, the home arena of the Heat. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 7:30 PM ET, with the Celtics entering this matchup with a 2-1 series lead.

The Celtics enter this game as massive favorites despite being on the road. The current spread favors the Celtics by 10.5 points, indicating the confidence in their ability to dominate the game. The moneyline for the Celtics is -500, while the moneyline for the Heat is +400. Based on these odds, the Celtics have an implied win probability of 81%, while the Heat have a 19% chance of pulling off an upset.

Both teams have been playing relatively good basketball as of late. The Celtics have won an impressive 38 out of their last 50 games, showcasing their dominance throughout the season. The Heat have also had a solid performance, winning 24 out of their last 40 games.

In their most recent meeting, the Celtics emerged victorious over the Heat with a commanding 104-84 victory. This outcome may influence the betting trends for the upcoming game. One player to watch in the prop market is Bam Adebayo, who has been a popular choice for points and rebounds wagers.

Sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under in this game, as the prop total for Adebayo's points and rebounds initially opened at Under 31.5 (-110), but has since dropped to 29.5 (-115). This suggests a belief that Adebayo may fall short of the higher total.

With the Celtics' dominant record and recent victory over the Heat, it's no surprise that they are heavily favored in this matchup. However, in the unpredictable world of sports, anything can happen. As basketball fans and sports bettors, we eagerly await the tip-off to see if the Celtics can continue their winning streak or if the Heat can pull off an upset on their home court.

Pick and Prediction: Boston Celtics 108.88 - Miami Heat 100.88

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-10.5/-110
61% BOS
+10.5/-110
39% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-523
71% BOS
+395
29% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

204.5/-110
8% UN
204.5/-110
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
79
Games
82
43.7
FG
40.2
90.1
FGA
86.0
.486
FG%
.467
16.5
3Pt-FG
13.0
42.6
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.388
3Pt%
.353
27.2
2Pt-FG
27.2
47.5
2Pt-FGA
49.2
.574
2Pt%
.553
16.4
FT
15.0
20.3
FTA
19.2
.809
FT%
.780
10.6
ORB
9.2
33.5
DRB
33.5
44.1
TRB
42.8
26.8
AST
26.5
6.7
STL
6.6
6.5
BLK
4.7
11.4
TOV
13.7
16.2
PF
18.9
120.4
PTS
108.4

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
79
Games
82
41.4
FG
39.8
91.6
FGA
85.6
.452
FG%
.465
12.9
3Pt-FG
12.5
36.7
3Pt-FGA
33.7
.350
3Pt%
.370
28.6
2Pt-FG
27.4
54.9
2Pt-FGA
51.9
.520
2Pt%
.527
13.4
FT
18.0
17.5
FTA
22.0
.766
FT%
.818
11.1
ORB
9.3
29.9
DRB
33.0
41.1
TRB
42.3
24.9
AST
25.8
6.2
STL
7.5
3.7
BLK
3.4
11.3
TOV
12.7
17.4
PF
17.3
109.1
PTS
110.1

Offense/Defense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.577
eFG%
.543
10.3
TOV%
12.7
26.2
RB%
78.1
.182
FT/FGA
.174

Defense/Offense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.522
eFG%
.538
10.2
TOV%
11.7
75.1
RB%
21.8
.146
FT/FGA
.210

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
79
Games
82
45.3
FG
41.6
93.3
FGA
89.1
.486
FG%
.467
17.1
3Pt-FG
13.4
44.1
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.388
3Pt%
.353
28.2
2Pt-FG
28.2
49.2
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.574
2Pt%
.553
17.0
FT
15.5
21.0
FTA
19.9
.809
FT%
.780
11.0
ORB
9.6
34.7
DRB
34.7
45.7
TRB
44.3
27.8
AST
27.4
6.9
STL
6.9
6.7
BLK
4.9
11.8
TOV
14.2
16.7
PF
19.6
124.7
PTS
112.2

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
79
Games
82
42.9
FG
41.2
94.9
FGA
88.7
.452
FG%
.465
13.3
3Pt-FG
12.9
38.0
3Pt-FGA
34.9
.350
3Pt%
.370
29.6
2Pt-FG
28.3
56.9
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.520
2Pt%
.527
13.9
FT
18.7
18.1
FTA
22.8
.766
FT%
.818
11.5
ORB
9.7
31.0
DRB
34.1
42.5
TRB
43.8
25.8
AST
26.7
6.4
STL
7.8
3.8
BLK
3.5
11.7
TOV
13.1
18.0
PF
17.9
113.0
PTS
114.0

BOS
Analytics
MIA
63
Pythag Wins
46
16
Pythag Losses
36
11.34
Margin Of Victory
1.76
124.7
O Rtg
114.0
113.0
D Rtg
112.2
95.8
Pace
96.2
.225
FTr
.257
.473
3PAr
.394
.608
TS%
.578

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-109)
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-113)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-550
+405
-523
+395
-550
+410
-520
+390
-590
+430
-510
+390
-560
+410
-530
+400
-550
+400
-550
+400
-550
+400
-500
+375
-550
+400
-550
+400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.0 (-106)
205.0 (-114)
203.5 (-113)
203.5 (-108)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.5 (-105)
205.5 (-115)