Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Odds & Picks – 6/7/2024

Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Details

• Date: June 7, 2024
• Venue: Kauffman Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Bryce Miller - Mariners
  • Daniel Lynch - Royals

Betting Odds

Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are preparing to face off against the Seattle Mariners in an American League matchup scheduled for June 7, 2024. The game will take place at Kauffman Stadium, with the Royals playing as the home team.

The Royals have been having a great season so far, with a record of 37-26. Their strong performance places them at the 7th spot in MLB rankings. On the other hand, the Mariners have had a good season, currently holding a record of 36-28.

Taking the mound for the Royals is left-handed pitcher Daniel Lynch. Lynch has started two games this season and boasts an impressive ERA of 1.50. However, his peripheral indicator, xFIP, suggests that he may have been lucky and could perform worse going forward.

The Mariners will counter with right-handed pitcher Bryce Miller, who has started 12 games this year. Miller has a solid ERA of 3.18, but similar to Lynch, his peripheral indicators, xERA and FIP, suggest he may have been fortunate and could regress in his future performances.

The Royals' offense has been impressive, ranking 7th in MLB this season. However, their home run numbers have been lacking, placing them at the 26th spot in the league. Despite this, they excel in stolen bases, ranking 4th in the league.

The Mariners' offense has struggled, ranking 26th overall. Their batting average sits at 24th in the league, but they have shown some power, ranking 13th in home runs. Their stolen base ranking stands at 18th, indicating an average performance in that area.

In terms of bullpens, THE BAT X ranks the Royals' bullpen as the 23rd best in MLB, while the Mariners' bullpen ranks 26th. This suggests that both teams' relief pitching may be a weak point.

Based on the current odds, the Royals have an average implied team total of 4.05 runs, while the Mariners have a higher implied team total of 4.45 runs. The betting markets anticipate a close game, with the Mariners slightly favored.

Considering the matchup, Daniel Lynch, a low-strikeout pitcher, faces a high-strikeout Mariners offense. This may give Lynch an advantage as his strength aligns with the Mariners' weakness. On the other hand, Bryce Miller, a high-flyball pitcher, faces a Royals offense with limited power. This could work in Miller's favor as the Royals may struggle to turn his flyballs into home runs.

Overall, this game is expected to be closely contested between the Royals and the Mariners. The Royals' solid season performance, combined with home-field advantage, may give them an edge. However, the Mariners have been putting up a good fight and could pose a challenge to the Royals' pitching staff. Baseball fans can anticipate an exciting matchup between these two teams on June 7, 2024.

Quick Takes Seattle Mariners:

Bryce Miller has gone to his four-seam fastball 13.4% less often this season (45.1%) than he did last season (58.5%).

• Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.

Mitch Haniger is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Seattle Mariners' bullpen grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in MLB.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes Kansas City Royals:

Daniel Lynch wasn't on when it came to striking hitters out in his last GS and put up 2 Ks.

• A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.

Salvador Perez has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 24.24 ft/sec to 24.76 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

• Fast players tend to get more hits as they leg out groundballs, more extra base hits, and more stolen bases.

Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences today.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.35 Units / 47% ROI)

Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

Final Score: Seattle Mariners 5.69 vs Kansas City Royals 5.2

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.