Yilber Diaz projections, stats and prop bet odds for Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks on Jul 28, 2024
Yilber Diaz Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -132
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 30%.
Yilber Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats across the board.
Among all starting pitchers, Yilber Diaz's fastball velocity of 95.4 mph ranks in the 91st percentile this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Yilber Diaz is projected to throw 82 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least of all pitchers on the slate.
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Yilber Diaz today.
In his last game started, Yilber Diaz didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 0 Ks.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Yilber Diaz has relied on his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 61.8% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.
Projection For Today's Yilber Diaz Strikeouts Prop Bet
Yilber Diaz is projected to have 4.6 Strikeouts in todays game.
Yilber Diaz Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
It may be best to expect positive regression for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for BABIP.
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Yilber Diaz today.
In his last GS, Yilber Diaz allowed a staggering 7 earned runs.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
In the league, Chase Field's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 30%.
Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Yilber Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats across the board.
Among all starting pitchers, Yilber Diaz's fastball velocity of 95.4 mph ranks in the 91st percentile this year.
Projection For Today's Yilber Diaz Earned Runs Prop Bet
Yilber Diaz is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in todays game.
