Sonny Gray projections, stats and prop bet odds for Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals on Sep 18, 2024
Sonny Gray Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 6.5 over: -128
- Strikeouts 6.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Sonny Gray in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Billy Cook, Joey Bart, Oneil Cruz).
With 6 batters who share his hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Sonny Gray figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.
Sonny Gray will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats across the board.
Sonny Gray was on point in his last outing and notched 9 strikeouts.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 6th-worst park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 81°.
Over his previous 3 starts, Sonny Gray has experienced a substantial fall off in his fastball spin rate: from 2515 rpm over the whole season to 2415 rpm lately.
With a 0.93 disparity between Sonny Gray's 10.92 K/9 and his 9.99 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see worse results the rest of the season.
Projection For Today's Sonny Gray Strikeouts Prop Bet
Sonny Gray is projected to have 6.1 Strikeouts in todays game.
Sonny Gray Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 150
- Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -200
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Sonny Gray in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.
Generating 17.9 outs per GS this year on average, Sonny Gray checks in at the 93rd percentile.
Busch Stadium grades out as the #29 ballpark in the majors for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The 2nd-deepest right field dimensions in the league are found in Busch Stadium.
With 6 batters who share his hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Sonny Gray figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season
In the league, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 81°.
Over his previous 3 starts, Sonny Gray has experienced a substantial fall off in his fastball spin rate: from 2515 rpm over the whole season to 2415 rpm lately.
The Pittsburgh Pirates as a group place overall in MLB this year when it comes to the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.
Projection For Today's Sonny Gray Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Sonny Gray is projected to have 16.3 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Sonny Gray Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 1.5 over: -155
- Earned Runs 1.5 under: 125
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season
In the league, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 81°.
Over his previous 3 starts, Sonny Gray has experienced a substantial fall off in his fastball spin rate: from 2515 rpm over the whole season to 2415 rpm lately.
The Pittsburgh Pirates as a group place overall in MLB this year when it comes to the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Sonny Gray in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.
Busch Stadium grades out as the #29 ballpark in the majors for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The 2nd-deepest right field dimensions in the league are found in Busch Stadium.
With 6 batters who share his hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Sonny Gray figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.
Among all the teams today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.
Projection For Today's Sonny Gray Earned Runs Prop Bet
Sonny Gray is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in todays game.
