Carson Kelly Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Home Runs Prop Odds:

Home Runs 0.5 over: 650

Home Runs 0.5 under: -1000

Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Carson Kelly has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.6% rate last year to 23.7% this season.

Carson Kelly has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.7-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph EV.

Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Shots Prop

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

In Major League Baseball, the 7th-tallest fences are at Wrigley Field.

This matchup is projected to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Dustin May will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Kelly in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering May's huge platoon split.

Carson Kelly has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 24.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 18.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in today's game.

RBIs Prop Odds:

RBIs 0.5 over: 165

RBIs 0.5 under: -234

Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop

The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Carson Kelly has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.6% rate last year to 23.7% this season.

Carson Kelly has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.7-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph EV.

Carson Kelly's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.7% to 23.7%.

Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

Wrigley Field projects as the #21 ballpark in the majors for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In Major League Baseball, the 7th-tallest fences are at Wrigley Field.

This matchup is projected to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 0.4 RBIs in today's game.

Hits Prop Odds:

Hits 0.5 over: -172

Hits 0.5 under: 140

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop

The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Carson Kelly has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.6% rate last year to 23.7% this season.

Carson Kelly has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.7-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph EV.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

This matchup is projected to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Dustin May will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Kelly in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering May's huge platoon split.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Carson Kelly has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .342 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .313.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 0.7 Hits in today's game.

Total Bases Prop Odds:

Total Bases 0.5 over: -172

Total Bases 0.5 under: 140

Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop

The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Carson Kelly has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.6% rate last year to 23.7% this season.

Carson Kelly has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.7-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph EV.

Carson Kelly's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.7% to 23.7%.

Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

Wrigley Field projects as the #21 ballpark in the majors for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In Major League Baseball, the 7th-tallest fences are at Wrigley Field.

This matchup is projected to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 0.7 Total Bases in today's game.

Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Odds:

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 over: 100

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop

The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Carson Kelly has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.6% rate last year to 23.7% this season.

Carson Kelly has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.7-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph EV.

Carson Kelly's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.7% to 23.7%.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

Wrigley Field projects as the #21 ballpark in the majors for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In Major League Baseball, the 7th-tallest fences are at Wrigley Field.

This matchup is projected to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 1.6 Hits Runs and RBIs in today's game.