Carson Kelly Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

RBIs Prop Odds:

RBIs 0.5 over: 220

RBIs 0.5 under: -294

Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.

In the last two weeks' worth of games, Carson Kelly's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%.

Posting a .355 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Carson Kelly finds himself in the 87th percentile for hitting ability.

Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst field in the league for run-scoring.

In the league, the 7th-highest fences are at Wrigley Field.

Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Kelly in today's game.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 0.4 RBIs in today's game.

Total Bases Prop Odds:

Total Bases 0.5 over: -161

Total Bases 0.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.

In the last two weeks' worth of games, Carson Kelly's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%.

Posting a .355 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Carson Kelly finds himself in the 87th percentile for hitting ability.

Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst field in the league for run-scoring.

In the league, the 7th-highest fences are at Wrigley Field.

Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Kelly in today's game.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 0.8 Total Bases in today's game.

Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Odds:

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 over: 110

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.

In the last two weeks' worth of games, Carson Kelly's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%.

Posting a .355 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Carson Kelly finds himself in the 87th percentile for hitting ability.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst field in the league for run-scoring.

In the league, the 7th-highest fences are at Wrigley Field.

Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Kelly in today's game.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 1.7 Hits Runs and RBIs in today's game.

Home Runs Prop Odds:

Home Runs 0.5 over: 650

Home Runs 0.5 under: -1000

Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Carson Kelly ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.

Posting a .355 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Carson Kelly finds himself in the 87th percentile for hitting ability.

Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Shots Prop

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today's game.

In the league, the 7th-highest fences are at Wrigley Field.

Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Kelly in today's game.

Carson Kelly has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 10.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past two weeks.

In the last week, Carson Kelly's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 94.8 mph to 81.7 mph.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in today's game.

Hits Prop Odds:

Hits 0.5 over: -175

Hits 0.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.

In the last two weeks' worth of games, Carson Kelly's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today's game.

The #10 park in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Kelly in today's game.

The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams today.

Carson Kelly is projected to have 0.8 Hits in today's game.