Seth Lugo projections, stats and prop bet odds for Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals on Jul 21, 2024

Seth Lugo Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 120
  • Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -152

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, Seth Lugo's overall pitching talent ranks in the 76th percentile among all starters in the game currently.

Throwing 95.3 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Seth Lugo falls in the 90th percentile.

The Chicago White Sox projected batting order projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

Paul Clemons profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.

In Major League Baseball, Kauffman Stadium's right field dimensions are the deepest.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet

It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Chicago White Sox offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best park in the game for walks.

Kauffman Stadium has the 10th-lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.

Seth Lugo gave up a monstrous 5 earned runs in his last outing.

Seth Lugo's fastball velocity has dropped 1.1 mph this year (91.7 mph) below where it was last year (92.8 mph).

Projection For Today's Seth Lugo Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Seth Lugo is projected to have 18.4 Pitching Outs in todays game.


Seth Lugo Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Strikeouts 5.5 over: -105
  • Strikeouts 5.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet

Throwing 95.3 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Seth Lugo falls in the 90th percentile.

The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Korey Lee, Paul DeJong, Luis Robert).

Paul Clemons profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.

With 7 hitters who bat from the same side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Seth Lugo ought to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.

Seth Lugo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet

The #2 ballpark in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

Seth Lugo's fastball velocity has dropped 1.1 mph this year (91.7 mph) below where it was last year (92.8 mph).

Seth Lugo has relied on his curveball 10.4% less often this year (18.9%) than he did last year (29.3%).

Projection For Today's Seth Lugo Strikeouts Prop Bet

Seth Lugo is projected to have 5.7 Strikeouts in todays game.


Seth Lugo Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Earned Runs 1.5 over: -166
  • Earned Runs 1.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet

It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Chicago White Sox offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best park in the game for walks.

Kauffman Stadium has the 10th-lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.

Seth Lugo gave up a monstrous 5 earned runs in his last outing.

Seth Lugo's fastball velocity has dropped 1.1 mph this year (91.7 mph) below where it was last year (92.8 mph).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, Seth Lugo's overall pitching talent ranks in the 76th percentile among all starters in the game currently.

The Chicago White Sox projected batting order projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

Paul Clemons profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.

In Major League Baseball, Kauffman Stadium's right field dimensions are the deepest.

With 7 hitters who bat from the same side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Seth Lugo ought to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.

Projection For Today's Seth Lugo Earned Runs Prop Bet

Seth Lugo is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in todays game.